THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 30 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 351EVENTS 32LIVE 2ALERTS 173
ATPHardBeijing · Qualifiers2026-09-29 05:00

Marco Trungelliti v Alex Molcan

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongLOST
M. Trungelliti to win2.26
Worth backing at 2.00 or bigger · our chance 50% · market 43/57, us 50/50

M. Trungelliti is 7-3 over the last ten and 8-7 on hard this season. A. Molcan is 4-6 over the last ten and 11-8 on hard this season.

The pick is M. Trungelliti to win. We make it a 50% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.00 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. TrungellitiA. Molcan
83Ranking96
7-3Last 104-6
WLWWWLast 5WLWLL
+1.9V the odds-1.7
32-25Season31-19
8-7Hard 202611-8
1Last 7 days1
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. Trungelliti2.3141%
A. MolcanFAV1.6259%
Market says59% Molcan

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Trungelliti0
A. Molcan1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-29BeijingM. TrungellitivA. Molcan0 - 2

This season & this event

M. Trungelliti
A. Molcan
32-26
8-8
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
32-19
12-8
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Marco Trungelliti
Argentina
Alex Molcan
Slovakia
88
36
Argentina
32–26
1
7–6
24–15
1–3
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
96
28
Slovakia
30–19
0
2–5
23–10
3–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Trungelliti — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29BeijingHardA. Molcan0 - 22.3159%LOST
2026-09-28BeijingHardM. Landaluce1 - 22.6264%WON
2026-09-19SzczecinClayT. Monteiro2 - 11.7456%LOST
2026-09-18SzczecinClayM. Cecchinato0 - 21.5858%WON
2026-09-17SzczecinClayF. Pieczonka1 - 21.2078%WON
2026-09-15SzczecinClayS. Cuenin0 - 21.4367%WON
2026-09-08SevilleClayT. Pereira2 - 11.2180%LOST
2026-08-31US OpenHardJ. Shang2 - 32.7965%WON
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardD. Medvedev0 - 26.0384%LOST
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardH. Medjedovic0 - 22.7865%WON

A. Molcan — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29BeijingHardM. Trungelliti0 - 21.6259%WON
2026-09-28BeijingHardV. Kopriva2 - 11.6259%WON
2026-09-20ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryS. Tsitsipas1 - 22.8065%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryS. Sakellaridis2 - 01.5164%WON
2026-09-08TullnClayJ. Reis Da Silva0 - 21.2180%LOST
2026-09-01US OpenHardB. Bonzi1 - 32.8766%LOST
2026-08-04HagenClayC. H. Tseng1 - 1 RET1.2677%LOST
2026-07-23KitzbuhelclayA. Bublik2 - 02.3558%LOST
2026-07-22KitzbuhelclayD. Altmaier2 - 11.7456%WON
2026-07-21KitzbuhelclayS. Ofner2 - 01.7456%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Marco Trungelliti or Alex Molcan?

Alex Molcan is favourite at 1.62, which is a 59% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan?

Marco Trungelliti is 2.31 and Alex Molcan is 1.62, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.

What is the head-to-head between Marco Trungelliti and Alex Molcan?

They have met 1 time and Alex Molcan leads 1-0.

Who will win Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan?

Our model makes it Marco Trungelliti to win at 2.26 (Strong confidence).

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