Lucas Poullain v Tom Paris
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTL. Poullain is 5-5 over the last ten and 34-19 on hard this season. T. Paris is 4-6 over the last ten and 4-7 on hard this season. L. Poullain took a medical timeout on 2026-09-29. The head to head is L. Poullain 2-1.
The pick is L. Poullain to win 2-0. We make it a 46% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.17 or bigger. At 1.80 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. Poullain | T. Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| 334 | Ranking | - |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| WLWWL | Last 5 | WLLLW |
| +0.1 | V the odds | -0.4 |
| 39-24 | Season | 5-9 |
| 34-19 | Hard 2026 | 4-7 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| MTO | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | L. PoullainvT. Paris | 0 - 2 |
| 2026-03-10 | Cherbourg | T. ParisvL. Poullain | 0 - 2 |
| 2025-02-06 | Lille | T. ParisvL. Poullain | 2 - 0 |
| 2023-09-24 | Orleans Challenger Men | T. ParisvL. Poullain | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. Poullain — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | T. Paris | 0 - 2 | 1.34 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-10-11 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | G. Brouwer | 2 - 0 | 1.23 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | J. J. Schwaerzler | 0 - 2 | 2.40 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | R. Bertola | 2 - 1 | 2.27 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | M. Lajal | 1 - 2 | 3.95 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | M25 Setubal | Hard | D. Morais | 2 - 0 | 1.18 | 82% | LOST |
| 2026-09-16 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | C. Chidekh | 0 - 2 | 3.55 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | D. Jorda Sanchis | 0 - 2 | 1.37 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | Cassis | Hard | M. Echargui | 2 - 0 | 2.15 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-08-22 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | O. Tarvet | 2 - 0 | 3.81 | 75% | LOST |
T. Paris — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | U. Blanchet | 2 - 0 | 3.22 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | L. Poullain | 0 - 2 | 3.38 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-10-11 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | Y. Ghazouani Durand | 2 - 1 | 2.21 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | N. Visker | 2 - 0 | 2.05 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-05-25 | Kosice | Clay | L. Pokorny | 2 - 1 | 2.09 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-04-28 | Aix en Provence | Clay | S. Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | 3.00 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-04-27 | Aix en Provence | Clay | L. Lokoli | 1 - 1 RET | 2.98 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-04-20 | Gwangju | Hard | Wu Tung-Lin | 2 - 0 | 3.33 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-04-19 | Gwangju | Hard | Y. Chung | 1 - 2 | 1.50 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-04-06 | Wuning (China) | Hard | I. Simakin | 1 - 2 | 2.66 | 65% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Lucas Poullain or Tom Paris?
Lucas Poullain is favourite at 1.34, which is a 72% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Lucas Poullain vs Tom Paris?
Lucas Poullain is 1.34 and Tom Paris is 3.38, the prices we recorded for the Roanne match.
What is the head-to-head between Lucas Poullain and Tom Paris?
They have met 4 times and they are level at 2-2.
Who will win Lucas Poullain vs Tom Paris?
Our model makes it Lucas Poullain to win 2-0 at 1.80 (Lean confidence).