Hugo Gaston v Daniel Jade
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTD. Jade is 6-4 over the last ten and 10-11 on hard this season. H. Gaston is 6-4 over the last ten and 15-14 on hard this season. H. Gaston took a medical timeout on 2026-10-05.
The pick is D. Jade to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 50% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.01 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| H. Gaston | D. Jade | |
|---|---|---|
| 87 | Ranking | - |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| LLWWL | Last 5 | LWWLW |
| +1.4 | V the odds | +0.4 |
| 31-27 | Season | 24-18 |
| 15-14 | Hard 2026 | 10-11 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 7d | Days rest | 3d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| MTODefending final | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | H. GastonvD. Jade | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
H. Gaston — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | D. Jade | 2 - 0 | 1.18 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Draxl | 0 - 2 | 1.68 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Rublev | 1 - 2 | 4.38 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-09-26 | Hangzhou | Hard | J. Faria | 1 - 2 | 2.56 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | S. Shimabukuro | 0 - 2 | 1.71 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | D. Medvedev | 3 - 0 | 6.68 | 86% | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | C. Smith | 2 - 1 | 1.72 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | A. Ilagan | 2 - 0 | 1.67 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | G. I. Justo | 2 - 0 | 1.13 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-08-22 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | L. van Assche | 0 - 2 | 2.77 | 65% | LOST |
D. Jade — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | H. Gaston | 2 - 0 | 5.32 | 82% | LOST |
| 2026-10-09 | M15+H Rodez | Hard | A. Gobat | 0 - 2 | 1.41 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-10-08 | M15+H Rodez | Hard | E. Donnet | 2 - 0 | 1.53 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-10-06 | M15+H Rodez | Hard | K. De Schepper | 2 - 0 | 1.78 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | St. Tropez | Hard | D. Glinka | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | M. Domenc | 1 - 2 | 1.39 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | St. Tropez | Hard | R. Peniston | 2 - 1 | 2.22 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | US Open | Hard | J. Lee | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | V. Reddy | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-06 | US Open | Hard | M. Vaughan | 1 - 1 RET | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Hugo Gaston or Daniel Jade?
Hugo Gaston is favourite at 1.18, which is a 82% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Jade?
Hugo Gaston is 1.18 and Daniel Jade is 5.32, the prices we recorded for the Roanne match.
What is the head-to-head between Hugo Gaston and Daniel Jade?
They have met 1 time and Hugo Gaston leads 1-0.
Who will win Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Jade?
Our model makes it Daniel Jade to win a set (Lean confidence).