Luca Staeheli v Alex Rybakov
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongWONL. Staeheli is 7-3 over the last ten and 16-9 on hard this season. A. Rybakov is 5-5 over the last ten and 6-14 on hard this season.
The pick is L. Staeheli to win. We make it a 43% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.35 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. Staeheli | A. Rybakov | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | 341 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WLLWW | Last 5 | WLWLW |
| +2.3 | V the odds | -0.3 |
| 38-20 | Season | 16-22 |
| 16-9 | Hard 2026 | 6-14 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Columbus | L. StaehelivA. Rybakov | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. Staeheli — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | O. Okonkwo | 1 - 2 | 1.55 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | A. Rybakov | 2 - 1 | 2.66 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | B. Kuzuhara | 2 - 0 | 1.77 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification, Hard | — | E. Arutiunian | 2 - 0 | 2.48 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-16 | Tiburon | Hard | S. Gorzny | 0 - 2 | 3.24 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Tiburon | Hard | R. Pascual Ferra | 2 - 1 | 2.89 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | Tiburon | Hard | M. Exsted | 2 - 1 | 1.77 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Sion (Switzerland) | Clay | J. M. La Serna | 0 - 1 RET | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Sion (Switzerland) | Clay | A. Chepelev | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-16 | M25 Muttenz | Clay | L. Wessels | 2 - 1 | 1.91 | 51% | WON |
A. Rybakov — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | L. Staeheli | 2 - 1 | 1.33 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | M. Forbes | 0 - 2 | 1.56 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | O. Baris | 2 - 1 | 2.33 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification, Hard | — | K. Sell | 0 - 2 | 1.42 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Tiburon | Hard | R. Seggerman | 2 - 0 | 2.03 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-09-13 | Tiburon | Hard | D. Martin | 0 - 2 | 1.30 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-08-23 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | O. Bonding | 1 - 2 | 1.53 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | C. Broom | 0 - 2 | 3.55 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | F. Zakaria | 0 - 2 | 1.24 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-08-07 | M25 Roehampton | Grass | O. Tarvet | 1 - 2 | 4.89 | 80% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Luca Staeheli or Alex Rybakov?
Alex Rybakov is favourite at 1.33, which is a 67% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Luca Staeheli vs Alex Rybakov?
Luca Staeheli is 2.66 and Alex Rybakov is 1.33, the prices we recorded for the Columbus match.
What is the head-to-head between Luca Staeheli and Alex Rybakov?
They have met 1 time and Luca Staeheli leads 1-0.
Who will win Luca Staeheli vs Alex Rybakov?
Our model makes it Luca Staeheli to win at 2.62 (Strong confidence).