Duncan Chan v Keaton Hance
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongLOSTK. Hance is 6-4 over the last ten and 11-7 on hard this season. D. Chan is 5-5 over the last ten and 9-8 on hard this season.
The pick is K. Hance to win. We make it a 49% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.03 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| D. Chan | K. Hance | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | - |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WLLWL | Last 5 | WLWLW |
| +0.6 | V the odds | +1.7 |
| 9-8 | Season | 27-15 |
| 9-8 | Hard 2026 | 11-7 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Columbus | D. ChanvK. Hance | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
D. Chan — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | C. Smith | 0 - 2 | 3.00 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | K. Hance | 2 - 0 | 1.62 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | D. Petak | 2 - 1 | 1.16 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | T. Daniel | 0 - 2 | 2.65 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | T. A. Tirante | 1 - 2 | 3.61 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-08-01 | Montreal | Hard | H. Gaston | 1 - 2 | 3.63 | 73% | WON |
| 2026-07-29 | Vancouver | Hard | D. Sweeny | 2 - 0 | 2.50 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-07-23 | Winnipeg | Hard | S. Mochizuki | 2 - 1 | 3.41 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-07-21 | Winnipeg | Hard | J. McCabe | 1 - 2 | 2.49 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-07-20 | Winnipeg | Hard | C. Bouchelaghem | 2 - 1 | 1.61 | 59% | WON |
K. Hance — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | D. Chan | 2 - 0 | 2.16 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | M. Antonius | 2 - 1 | 2.59 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | N. Basavareddy | 2 - 1 | 9.50 | 90% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | A. Martin | 2 - 0 | 3.84 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | US Open | Hard | M. Latak | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-09 | US Open | Hard | K. Filaretov | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | US Open | Hard | O. Majdandzic | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | P. H. Chabalgoity | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-23 | US Open | Hard | D. Blanch | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-30 | M25 Edwardsville, IL | Hard | J. Monday | 2 - 0 | 5.34 | 82% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Duncan Chan or Keaton Hance?
Duncan Chan is favourite at 1.62, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Duncan Chan vs Keaton Hance?
Duncan Chan is 1.62 and Keaton Hance is 2.16, the prices we recorded for the Columbus match.
What is the head-to-head between Duncan Chan and Keaton Hance?
They have met 1 time and Duncan Chan leads 1-0.
Who will win Duncan Chan vs Keaton Hance?
Our model makes it Keaton Hance to win at 2.24 (Strong confidence).