THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 29 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 234EVENTS 32LIVE 6ALERTS 89
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Columbus · Qualifiers2026-09-28 17:30

Duncan Chan v Keaton Hance

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongLOST
K. Hance to win2.24
Worth backing at 2.03 or bigger · our chance 49% · market 58/42, us 51/49

K. Hance is 6-4 over the last ten and 11-7 on hard this season. D. Chan is 5-5 over the last ten and 9-8 on hard this season.

The pick is K. Hance to win. We make it a 49% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.03 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

D. ChanK. Hance
-Ranking-
5-5Last 106-4
WLLWLLast 5WLWLW
+0.6V the odds+1.7
9-8Season27-15
9-8Hard 202611-7
1Last 7 days3
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

D. ChanFAV1.6257%
K. Hance2.1643%
Market says57% Chan

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

D. ChanLWWLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

D. Chan1
K. Hance0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-28ColumbusD. ChanvK. Hance2 - 0

This season & this event

D. Chan
K. Hance
10-9
10-9
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
27-16
11-8
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Duncan Chan
Canada
Keaton Hance
USA
650
21
Canada
9–8
0
9–8
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
1232
18
USA
10–9
0
0–3
8–5
2–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Chan — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29ColumbusHard (Indoor)C. Smith0 - 23.0069%LOST
2026-09-28ColumbusHard (Indoor)K. Hance2 - 01.6257%WON
2026-09-27ColumbusHard (Indoor)D. Petak2 - 11.1680%WON
2026-08-19Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardT. Daniel0 - 22.6564%LOST
2026-08-04MontrealHardT. A. Tirante1 - 23.6173%LOST
2026-08-01MontrealHardH. Gaston1 - 23.6373%WON
2026-07-29VancouverHardD. Sweeny2 - 02.5061%LOST
2026-07-23WinnipegHardS. Mochizuki2 - 13.4172%LOST
2026-07-21WinnipegHardJ. McCabe1 - 22.4961%WON
2026-07-20WinnipegHardC. Bouchelaghem2 - 11.6159%WON

K. Hance — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-28ColumbusHard (Indoor)D. Chan2 - 02.1657%LOST
2026-09-27ColumbusHard (Indoor)M. Antonius2 - 12.5964%WON
2026-09-23San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardN. Basavareddy2 - 19.5090%LOST
2026-09-21San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardA. Martin2 - 03.8475%WON
2026-09-10US OpenHardM. Latak2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-09US OpenHardK. Filaretov1 - 2——WON
2026-09-08US OpenHardO. Majdandzic0 - 2——WON
2026-09-07US OpenHardP. H. Chabalgoity0 - 2——WON
2026-08-23US OpenHardD. Blanch2 - 1——LOST
2026-07-30M25 Edwardsville, ILHardJ. Monday2 - 05.3482%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Duncan Chan or Keaton Hance?

Duncan Chan is favourite at 1.62, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Duncan Chan vs Keaton Hance?

Duncan Chan is 1.62 and Keaton Hance is 2.16, the prices we recorded for the Columbus match.

What is the head-to-head between Duncan Chan and Keaton Hance?

They have met 1 time and Duncan Chan leads 1-0.

Who will win Duncan Chan vs Keaton Hance?

Our model makes it Keaton Hance to win at 2.24 (Strong confidence).

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