WTAHardTokyo2026-10-28 03:00

Leylah Fernandez v Elise Mertens

The market

L. FernandezFAV1.9050%

E. Mertens1.9050%

Market says50% Fernandez

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

L. FernandezWLWWW

E. MertensWLLLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

L. Fernandez2

E. Mertens1

Head to head3 meetings

Date	Event	Match	Score
2026-10-19	Ningbo	E. MertensvL. Fernandez	6-2 3-6 5-7
2025-02-16	Dubai	E. MertensvL. Fernandez	6-2 6-2
2023-09-19	WTA Guadalajara	L. FernandezvE. Mertens	6-3 6-4

This season & this event

L. Fernandez

E. Mertens

29-26

23-18

Lost R16 to E. Rybakina

Lost QF to Q. Zheng

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

35-22

24-16

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Leylah Fernandez

Canada

Elise Mertens

Belgium

Canada

17–23

8–12

8–7

1–4

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

Belgium

31–19

18–11

5–4

7–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

L. Fernandez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Tokyo	Hard	H. Sakatsume	1.22	80%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-4 FernandezSakatsumePoints won57%43%Serve points won71%52%Return points won48%29%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved4 of 55 of 9Aces21Double faults04
2026-10-25	Ningbo	Hard	E. Rybakina	3.56	73%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 2-6 FernandezRybakinaPoints won41%59%Serve points won51%67%Return points won33%49%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved1 of 54 of 4Aces23Double faults32
2026-10-24	Ningbo	Hard	M. Bouzkova	2.03	52%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-5 FernandezBouzkovaPoints won56%44%Serve points won52%41%Return points won59%48%Games held5 of 103 of 11Break points saved10 of 1510 of 18Aces30Double faults32
2026-10-23	Ningbo	Hard	E. Alexandrova	2.27	57%	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-2 6-1 FernandezAlexandrovaPoints won57%43%Serve points won67%54%Return points won46%33%Games held12 of 138 of 12Break points saved3 of 45 of 9Aces35Double faults24
2026-10-21	Ningbo	Hard	A. Sasnovich	1.47	66%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-7 6-3 FernandezSasnovichPoints won52%48%Serve points won57%53%Return points won47%43%Games held11 of 169 of 17Break points saved1 of 67 of 15Aces13Double faults86
2026-10-19	Ningbo	Hard	E. Mertens	2.18	55%	WON
Games in each set2-6 6-3 7-5 FernandezMertensPoints won51%49%Serve points won51%50%Return points won50%49%Games held8 of 157 of 14Break points saved7 of 145 of 12Aces10Double faults117
2026-10-15	Wuhan	Hard	J. Ostapenko	1.76	55%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 6-1 4-6 FernandezOstapenkoPoints won48%52%Serve points won55%61%Return points won39%45%Games held7 of 128 of 12Break points saved12 of 172 of 6Aces52Double faults77
2026-10-14	Wuhan	Hard	H. Shi	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 FernandezShiPoints won56%44%Serve points won66%60%Return points won40%34%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved7 of 81 of 4Aces01Double faults72
2026-10-12	Wuhan	Hard	E. Alexandrova	2.10	54%	WON
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-3 FernandezAlexandrovaPoints won52%48%Serve points won56%52%Return points won48%44%Games held9 of 148 of 14Break points saved14 of 193 of 9Aces81Double faults59
2026-10-02	Beijing	Hard	K. Rakhimova	1.32	74%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-4 3-6 FernandezRakhimovaPoints won48%52%Serve points won58%62%Return points won38%42%Games held9 of 1411 of 13Break points saved6 of 112 of 4Aces50Double faults24

E. Mertens — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Tokyo	Hard	M. Uchijima	1.15	84%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 MertensUchijimaPoints won60%40%Serve points won75%55%Return points won45%25%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved3 of 40 of 4Aces64Double faults12
2026-10-19	Ningbo	Hard	L. Fernandez	1.75	55%	LOST
Games in each set6-2 3-6 5-7 MertensFernandezPoints won49%51%Serve points won50%51%Return points won49%50%Games held7 of 148 of 15Break points saved5 of 127 of 14Aces01Double faults711
2026-10-12	Wuhan	Hard	D. Snigur	1.45	67%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 5-7 MertensSnigurPoints won47%53%Serve points won54%60%Return points won40%46%Games held6 of 118 of 11Break points saved4 of 94 of 7Aces60Double faults35
2026-10-10	Beijing	Hard	Q. Zheng	2.35	58%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 2-6 MertensZhengPoints won41%59%Serve points won53%73%Return points won27%47%Games held6 of 109 of 10Break points saved2 of 61 of 2Aces08Double faults22
2026-10-08	Beijing	Hard	I. Swiatek	4.66	79%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 MertensSwiatekPoints won56%44%Serve points won78%62%Return points won38%22%Games held11 of 119 of 10Break points saved0 of 03 of 4Aces51Double faults10
2026-10-07	Beijing	Hard	C. Gauff	4.31	77%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 MertensGauffPoints won57%43%Serve points won68%52%Return points won48%32%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved0 of 18 of 12Aces23Double faults28
2026-10-04	Beijing	Hard	J. Ostapenko	1.54	63%	WON
Games in each set6-2 3-6 6-3 MertensOstapenkoPoints won55%45%Serve points won62%51%Return points won49%38%Games held9 of 137 of 13Break points saved4 of 87 of 13Aces75Double faults711
2026-10-02	Beijing	Hard	K. Volynets	1.85	53%	WON
Games in each set6-0 4-6 7-5 MertensVolynetsPoints won55%45%Serve points won62%51%Return points won49%38%Games held11 of 148 of 14Break points saved7 of 1011 of 17Aces90Double faults51
2026-09-25	Singapore	Hard (Indoor)	M. Chwalinska	1.47	67%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 2-6 MertensChwalinskaPoints won40%60%Serve points won46%67%Return points won33%54%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved4 of 93 of 4Aces31Double faults22
2026-09-04	US Open	Hard	N. Osaka	3.63	73%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-3 5-7 MertensOsakaPoints won49%51%Serve points won59%61%Return points won39%41%Games held11 of 1512 of 15Break points saved12 of 168 of 11Aces39Double faults52

Common questions

Who is favourite, Leylah Fernandez or Elise Mertens?

Leylah Fernandez is favourite at 1.90, which is a 50% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens?

Leylah Fernandez is 1.90 and Elise Mertens is 1.90, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.

What is the head-to-head between Leylah Fernandez and Elise Mertens?

They have met 3 times and Leylah Fernandez leads 2-1.

Also at this event

Rakhimova v Alexandrova Parks v Chwalinska Parks v Birrell Eala v Gibson Bencic v Alexandrova Bucsa v Joint