ATPHard (Indoor)Vienna2026-10-28 10:00

Learner Tien v Alex De Minaur

The market

No published price yet

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

L. TienWLWLL

A. De MinaurWLWWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

L. Tien

A. De Minaur

Defending semi

35-22

22-15

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

43-20

23-13

Lost SF to J. Sinner

Lost SF to K. Khachanov

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Learner Tien

USA

Alex De Minaur

Australia

USA

31–19

19–12

9–4

2–2

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

Australia

41–19

24–10

7–6

8–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

L. Tien — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Vienna	Hard (Indoor)	L. van Assche	1.43	68%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-1 TienAsschePoints won59%41%Serve points won69%50%Return points won50%31%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved5 of 52 of 6Aces47Double faults22
2026-10-12	Shanghai	Hard	C. Ruud	1.66	59%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-7 TienRuudPoints won47%53%Serve points won64%72%Return points won28%36%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved8 of 92 of 2Aces713Double faults53
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	Z. Svajda	1.37	71%	WON
Games in each set7-5 7-5 TienSvajdaPoints won54%46%Serve points won75%66%Return points won34%25%Games held12 of 1210 of 12Break points saved0 of 01 of 3Aces57Double faults24
2026-09-30	Beijing	Hard	H. Hurkacz	1.60	61%	LOST
Games in each set7-5 3-6 4-6 TienHurkaczPoints won47%53%Serve points won66%70%Return points won30%34%Games held12 of 1514 of 16Break points saved4 of 73 of 5Aces512Double faults12
2026-09-27	ATP Laver Cup	Hard (Indoor)	A. Zverev	—	—	LOST
Games in each set6-7 3-6 TienZverevPoints won46%54%Serve points won64%73%Return points won27%36%Games held9 of 1011 of 11Break points saved5 of 64 of 4Aces05Double faults24
2026-09-26	ATP Laver Cup	Hard (Indoor)	F. Cobolli	1.47	65%	WON
Games in each set6-3 2-6 10-7 TienCobolliPoints won50%50%Serve points won55%54%Return points won46%45%Games held5 of 86 of 9Break points saved4 of 73 of 6Aces10Double faults45
2026-09-19	ATP Davis Cup - World Group	- Play Offs	J. Lehecka	1.91	50%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 5-7 TienLeheckaPoints won46%54%Serve points won57%64%Return points won36%43%Games held6 of 109 of 11Break points saved5 of 96 of 8Aces15Double faults33
2026-09-18	ATP Davis Cup - World Group	- Play Offs	J. Mensik	2.22	58%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-4 TienMensikPoints won58%42%Serve points won72%56%Return points won44%28%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved3 of 43 of 7Aces14Double faults24
2026-09-07	US Open	Hard	K. Khachanov	1.57	62%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 6-4 7-6 1-6 4-6 TienKhachanovPoints won48%52%Serve points won61%63%Return points won37%39%Games held17 of 2620 of 25Break points saved3 of 129 of 14Aces89Double faults87
2026-09-06	US Open	Hard	J. Mensik	1.72	57%	WON
Games in each set6-3 1-6 6-7 6-3 6-4 TienMensikPoints won49%51%Serve points won61%66%Return points won34%39%Games held18 of 2317 of 24Break points saved9 of 147 of 14Aces423Double faults88

A. De Minaur — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-26	Vienna	Hard (Indoor)	T. Machac		1.44	67%	WON
Games in each set1-6 6-4 6-3 MinaurMachacPoints won49%51%Serve points won56%57%Return points won43%44%Games held8 of 138 of 13Break points saved3 of 86 of 11Aces23Double faults33
2026-10-16	Shanghai	Hard	A. Zverev		2.70	64%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 MinaurZverevPoints won44%56%Serve points won67%76%Return points won24%33%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved0 of 25 of 5Aces610Double faults21
2026-10-14	Shanghai	Hard	K. Khachanov		1.80	54%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 MinaurKhachanovPoints won55%45%Serve points won75%65%Return points won35%25%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved1 of 11 of 3Aces43Double faults10
2026-10-12	Shanghai	Hard	R. Sakamoto		1.42	69%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-4 MinaurSakamotoPoints won55%45%Serve points won80%67%Return points won33%20%Games held11 of 1110 of 11Break points saved2 of 20 of 1Aces1113Double faults20
2026-10-06	Beijing	Hard	N. Djokovic	RET	2.53	61%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 1-0 MinaurDjokovicPoints won47%53%Serve points won68%82%Return points won18%32%Games held7 of 76 of 6Break points saved2 of 21 of 1Aces40Double faults20
2026-10-05	Beijing	Hard	H. Hurkacz	RET	1.74	56%	WON
Games in each set6-4 3-2 MinaurHurkaczPoints won58%42%Serve points won73%54%Return points won46%27%Games held6 of 75 of 8Break points saved2 of 36 of 9Aces38Double faults10
2026-10-04	Beijing	Hard	A. Rublev		1.75	54%	WON
Games in each set1-6 6-2 6-3 MinaurRublevPoints won53%47%Serve points won63%58%Return points won42%37%Games held9 of 128 of 12Break points saved9 of 127 of 11Aces17Double faults12
2026-10-02	Beijing	Hard	Q. Halys		1.36	72%	WON
Games in each set3-6 7-6 7-5 MinaurHalysPoints won50%50%Serve points won64%63%Return points won37%36%Games held13 of 1614 of 17Break points saved3 of 64 of 7Aces1012Double faults00
2026-09-30	Beijing	Hard	M. Navone		1.26	77%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 MinaurNavonePoints won57%43%Serve points won68%55%Return points won45%32%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved9 of 104 of 7Aces61Double faults20
2026-09-26	ATP Laver Cup	Hard (Indoor)	A. Zverev		3.75	74%	WON
Games in each set2-6 7-6 11-9 MinaurZverevPoints won48%52%Serve points won61%64%Return points won36%39%Games held6 of 108 of 10Break points saved5 of 93 of 5Aces15Double faults03