ITFHardW75 Petange2026-11-04 10:00

Lea Nilsson v Nahia Berecoechea

Set 3Serving: N. BerecoecheaJust brokenLong matchMust hold

Player	Set 1	Set 2	Set 3	Pts	Pre	Live
L. Nilsson	6	3	5	40	1.52	▼1.28
N. BerecoecheaMTO 14d	1	6	4	40	2.58	▲3.50

MomentumHold 43% ▼7

3/6

N. Berecoechea is expected to hold 43% — 7 points below their own baseline in this match. (just broken, long match, must hold) Live prices refresh every 20 seconds.

The market

L. NilssonFAV1.5263%

N. Berecoechea2.5837%

Market says63% Nilsson

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

L. NilssonLLLWL

N. BerecoecheaLWLLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

L. Nilsson

N. Berecoechea

19-15

3-7

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

12-15

12-11

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Lea Nilsson

Sweden

Nahia Berecoechea

France

696

Sweden

21–12

15–7

3–4

3–1

Ranking

Age

Country

2025 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

555

France

24–24

16–18

8–6

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

L. Nilsson — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	W100 New Braunfels, Tx (Usa), Hard	—	M. Brengle	3.96	76%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-7 NilssonBrenglePoints won48%52%Serve points won51%55%Return points won45%49%Games held5 of 117 of 11Break points saved4 of 96 of 10
2026-10-20	W50 Austin, TX	Hard	R. M. Nijkamp	—	—	LOST
Games in each set6-1 6-7 3-6 NilssonNijkampPoints won50%50%Serve points won54%54%Return points won46%46%Games held9 of 167 of 13Break points saved6 of 1211 of 17
2026-10-01	W75 Quinta do Lago	Hard	S. Bandecchi	3.03	69%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 2-6 NilssonBandecchiPoints won41%59%Serve points won54%76%Return points won24%46%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved6 of 103 of 3
2026-09-29	W75 Quinta do Lago	Hard	P. Sedlackova	1.25	75%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-4 NilssonSedlackovaPoints won54%46%Serve points won54%46%Return points won54%46%Games held6 of 93 of 9Break points saved6 of 97 of 13
2026-09-22	W50 Yecla	Hard	L. Boskovic	—	—	LOST
Games in each set5-7 7-5 3-6 NilssonBoskovicPoints won48%52%Serve points won55%59%Return points won41%45%Games held10 of 1612 of 17Break points saved10 of 162 of 7
2026-08-26	W50 Kursumlijska Banja (Serbia)	Clay	S. Janicijevic	1.52	63%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-0 3-6 NilssonJanicijevicPoints won51%49%Serve points won55%54%Return points won46%45%Games held7 of 127 of 12Break points saved8 of 138 of 13
2026-08-19	W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3	Clay	D. Astakhova	1.75	53%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 1-6 NilssonAstakhovaPoints won38%62%Serve points won46%72%Return points won28%54%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved5 of 102 of 3
2026-07-26	W50 Horb (Germany)	Clay	D. Back	1.85	52%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2
2026-07-25	W50 Horb (Germany)	Clay	C. Esquiva Banuls	1.61	58%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-5
2026-07-24	W50 Horb (Germany)	Clay	F. Parcelli	1.31	73%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-2

N. Berecoechea — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-29	W75 Poitiers	Hard	O. Dodin	3.81	75%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 1-6 BerecoecheaDodinPoints won40%60%Serve points won50%68%Return points won32%50%Games held5 of 99 of 10Break points saved2 of 67 of 8
2026-10-28	W75 Poitiers	Hard	O. Babel	1.44	66%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-4 BerecoecheaBabelPoints won53%47%Serve points won58%51%Return points won49%42%Games held7 of 116 of 12Break points saved3 of 77 of 12
2026-10-20	W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin	Hard	M. Bolkvadze	3.63	74%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 2-6 3-6 BerecoecheaBolkvadzePoints won47%53%Serve points won49%56%Return points won44%51%Games held6 of 139 of 14Break points saved4 of 113 of 8
2026-10-02	W35 Baza	Hard	C. Cervino Ruiz	1.45	65%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-7 BerecoecheaRuizPoints won48%52%Serve points won42%47%Return points won53%58%Games held3 of 124 of 11Break points saved5 of 1311 of 18
2026-10-01	W35 Baza	Hard	K. Novak	1.19	80%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-3 BerecoecheaNovakPoints won59%41%Serve points won60%43%Return points won57%40%Games held6 of 82 of 8Break points saved2 of 43 of 9
2026-09-29	W35 Baza	Hard	L. Boskovic	2.41	60%	WON
Games in each set7-6 3-6 6-1 BerecoecheaBoskovicPoints won50%50%Serve points won57%55%Return points won45%43%Games held10 of 149 of 15Break points saved5 of 98 of 13
2026-09-25	W50 Yecla	Hard	K. Lazarenko	1.29	74%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 1-6 1-6 BerecoecheaLazarenkoPoints won45%55%Serve points won49%59%Return points won41%51%Games held5 of 129 of 12Break points saved8 of 156 of 9
2026-09-24	W50 Yecla	Hard	M. Tona	1.44	65%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-1 BerecoecheaTonaPoints won61%39%Serve points won67%45%Return points won55%33%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved3 of 48 of 13
2026-09-22	W50 Yecla	Hard	M. Matoula	—	—	WON
Games in each set7-5 4-6 6-4 BerecoecheaMatoulaPoints won53%47%Serve points won49%44%Return points won56%51%Games held7 of 166 of 16Break points saved1 of 96 of 16
2026-09-09	W35 Reus	Clay	F. Pace	2.63	64%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 5-7 BerecoecheaPacePoints won49%51%Serve points won48%49%Return points won51%52%Games held5 of 127 of 13Break points saved5 of 127 of 13

Common questions

Who is favourite, Lea Nilsson or Nahia Berecoechea?

Lea Nilsson is favourite at 1.52, which is a 63% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Lea Nilsson vs Nahia Berecoechea?

Lea Nilsson is 1.52 and Nahia Berecoechea is 2.58, the prices we recorded for the W75 Petange match.

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