Kyrian Jacquet v Luciano Darderi
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTL. Darderi is 6-4 over the last ten and 17-12 on hard this season. K. Jacquet is 6-4 over the last ten and 16-7 on hard this season. K. Jacquet has played 4 matches in seven days.
The pick is L. Darderi to win. We make it a 61% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.63 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| K. Jacquet | L. Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| 136 | Ranking | - |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WLWWW | Last 5 | WLWWW |
| +0.6 | V the odds | +1.3 |
| 31-17 | Season | 35-24 |
| 16-7 | Hard 2026 | 17-12 |
| 4 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Tokyo | K. JacquetvL. Darderi | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
K. Jacquet — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Tokyo | Hard | L. Darderi | 2 - 0 | 2.15 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | H. Rune | 0 - 2 | 2.56 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Rublev | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Hangzhou | Hard | F. Marozsan | 0 - 2 | 2.07 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Hangzhou | Hard | T. M. Etcheverry | 2 - 0 | 2.44 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Vukic | 1 - 2 | 1.94 | 50% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | A. Dougaz | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | L. Midon | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | A. Vukic | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | D. Vallejo | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
L. Darderi — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Tokyo | Hard | K. Jacquet | 2 - 0 | 1.70 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | C. Ruud | 2 - 0 | 2.90 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | US Open | Hard | A. Zverev | 3 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open | Hard | D. Sweeny | 3 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | D. Svrcina | 3 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | H. Wendelken | 3 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | M. Bellucci | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | R. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-11 | Montreal | Hard | B. Nakashima | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Kyrian Jacquet or Luciano Darderi?
Luciano Darderi is favourite at 1.70, which is a 56% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi?
Kyrian Jacquet is 2.15 and Luciano Darderi is 1.70, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.
What is the head-to-head between Kyrian Jacquet and Luciano Darderi?
They have met 1 time and Kyrian Jacquet leads 1-0.
Who will win Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi?
Our model makes it Luciano Darderi to win at 1.65 (Lean confidence).