THE TENNIS TRADER
SATURDAY 03 OCTOBERMATCHES 81EVENTS 33ALERTS 41
ATPHardTokyo2026-10-02 03:00

Kyrian Jacquet v Luciano Darderi

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
L. Darderi to win1.65
Worth backing at 1.63 or bigger · our chance 61% · market 42/58, us 39/61

L. Darderi is 6-4 over the last ten and 17-12 on hard this season. K. Jacquet is 6-4 over the last ten and 16-7 on hard this season. K. Jacquet has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is L. Darderi to win. We make it a 61% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.63 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

K. JacquetL. Darderi
136Ranking-
6-4Last 106-4
WLWWWLast 5WLWWW
+0.6V the odds+1.3
31-17Season35-24
16-7Hard 202617-12
4Last 7 days1
2dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

K. Jacquet2.1544%
L. DarderiFAV1.7056%
Market says56% Darderi

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

K. Jacquet1
L. Darderi0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-02TokyoK. JacquetvL. Darderi2 - 0

This season & this event

K. Jacquet
L. Darderi
32-17
17-7
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
35-25
17-13
Lost R16 to J. Brooksby
Lost R32 to M. Navone

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Kyrian Jacquet
France
Luciano Darderi
Italy
136
25
France
3–1
0
3–1
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
25
24
Italy
38–30
4
6–15
30–11
2–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

K. Jacquet — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02TokyoHardL. Darderi2 - 02.1556%WON
2026-09-30TokyoHardH. Rune0 - 22.5662%WON
2026-09-28HangzhouHardA. Rublev0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-27HangzhouHardF. Marozsan0 - 22.0753%WON
2026-09-26HangzhouHardT. M. Etcheverry2 - 02.4460%WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardA. Vukic1 - 21.9450%WON
2026-08-26US OpenHardA. Dougaz1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-24US OpenHardL. Midon2 - 0——WON
2026-08-19Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardA. Vukic0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardD. Vallejo0 - 2——LOST

L. Darderi — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02TokyoHardK. Jacquet2 - 01.7056%LOST
2026-09-30TokyoHardC. Ruud2 - 02.9067%WON
2026-09-08US OpenHardA. Zverev3 - 0——LOST
2026-09-05US OpenHardD. Sweeny3 - 0——WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardD. Svrcina3 - 1——WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardH. Wendelken3 - 1——WON
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardB. Van De Zandschulp2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardM. Bellucci1 - 2——WON
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardR. Hijikata0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-11MontrealHardB. Nakashima0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Kyrian Jacquet or Luciano Darderi?

Luciano Darderi is favourite at 1.70, which is a 56% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi?

Kyrian Jacquet is 2.15 and Luciano Darderi is 1.70, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.

What is the head-to-head between Kyrian Jacquet and Luciano Darderi?

They have met 1 time and Kyrian Jacquet leads 1-0.

Who will win Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi?

Our model makes it Luciano Darderi to win at 1.65 (Lean confidence).

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