THE TENNIS TRADER
SATURDAY 10 OCTOBERMATCHES 118EVENTS 37LIVE 1ALERTS 55
ChallengerHardWuning 3 (China) - Qualification2026-10-09 04:00

Keisuke Saitoh v Akira Santillan

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
K. Saitoh to win2.39
Worth backing at 2.14 or bigger · our chance 47% · market 40/60, us 47/53

K. Saitoh is 9-1 over the last ten and 37-18 on hard this season. A. Santillan is 5-5 over the last ten and 24-23 on hard this season. K. Saitoh has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is K. Saitoh to win. We make it a 47% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.14 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

K. SaitohA. Santillan
550Ranking317
9-1Last 105-5
WWWWLLast 5WWLLW
+1.9V the odds+0.3
37-18Season33-28
37-18Hard 202624-23
4Last 7 days2
2dDays rest2d
4Wins here2
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

K. Saitoh2.3940%
A. SantillanFAV1.6260%
Market says60% Santillan

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

K. Saitoh1
A. Santillan0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-09Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationK. SaitohvA. Santillan2 - 1

This season & this event

K. Saitoh
A. Santillan
38-19
38-19
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
33-29
24-24
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Keisuke Saitoh
Japan
Akira Santillan
Japan
550
25
Japan
35–18
2
35–18
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
317
29
Japan
31–27
0
21–20
10–7
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

K. Saitoh — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardJ. D. Hara Friend0 - 24.8780%LOST
2026-10-09Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardA. Santillan2 - 12.3960%WON
2026-10-07Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardH. Moriya0 - 21.8851%WON
2026-10-06Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardD. Palan2 - 01.6057%WON
2026-10-05Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardY. Takahashi2 - 11.5960%WON
2026-10-04Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardZ. Wang2 - 01.0391%WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardM. Bellucci2 - 07.8088%LOST
2026-09-28JingshanHardK. Matsuda2 - 0——WON
2026-09-13M25 SapporoHardJ. Roddick1 - 21.5661%WON
2026-09-12M25 SapporoHardS. C. Hong2 - 1——WON

A. Santillan — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-09Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardK. Saitoh2 - 11.6260%LOST
2026-10-07Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardY. Demin0 - 21.7256%WON
2026-10-05Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardL. Castelnuovo1 - 21.8350%WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardL. Pavlovic0 - 22.2559%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardA. Bolt2 - 12.8766%LOST
2026-09-22HangzhouHardK. Kang0 - 2——WON
2026-09-16Guangzhou 2HardP. Kotov2 - 03.7275%LOST
2026-09-14Guangzhou 2HardY. Zeng0 - 21.2975%WON
2026-09-08ShanghaiHardB. Tomic2 - 03.5072%LOST
2026-09-03ZhangjiagangHardI. Ivashka1 - 23.2071%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Keisuke Saitoh or Akira Santillan?

Akira Santillan is favourite at 1.62, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira Santillan?

Keisuke Saitoh is 2.39 and Akira Santillan is 1.62, the prices we recorded for the Wuning 3 (China) match.

What is the head-to-head between Keisuke Saitoh and Akira Santillan?

They have met 1 time and Keisuke Saitoh leads 1-0.

Who will win Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira Santillan?

Our model makes it Keisuke Saitoh to win at 2.39 (Solid confidence).

Also at this event