Fajing Sun v Alibek Kachmazov
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidWONA. Kachmazov is 10-0 over the last ten and 23-7 on hard this season. F. Sun is 5-5 over the last ten and 30-24 on hard this season. A. Kachmazov has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is F. Sun 0-2.
The pick is A. Kachmazov to win. We make it a 64% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.58 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| F. Sun | A. Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| 303 | Ranking | - |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 10-0 |
| WWLLW | Last 5 | WWWWW |
| -0.5 | V the odds | +1.6 |
| 30-27 | Season | 24-9 |
| 30-24 | Hard 2026 | 23-7 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 4 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 2 | Wins here | 4 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | F. SunvA. Kachmazov | 0 - 2 |
| 2025-04-29 | Guangzhou | F. SunvA. Kachmazov | 0 - 2 |
| 2023-10-16 | Shenzhen 3 Challenger Men | F. SunvA. Kachmazov | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
F. Sun — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | A. Kachmazov | 0 - 2 | 2.27 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-10-07 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | K. Samrej | 2 - 0 | 1.48 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | A. Wang | 1 - 0 RET | 1.07 | 86% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | B. Tomic | 2 - 1 | 2.26 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | Hard | R. Safiullin | 0 - 2 | 4.73 | 79% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | B. Tomic | 0 - 2 | 2.49 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | M. Dellavedova | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | A. Binda | 2 - 1 | 1.27 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | A. Galarneau | 2 - 1 | 3.09 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Shanghai | Hard | J. Cui | 2 - 0 | 1.61 | 58% | LOST |
A. Kachmazov — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | O. Jasika | 2 - 0 | 1.51 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-10-09 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | F. Sun | 0 - 2 | 1.69 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-07 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | E. Zhu | 0 - 2 | 1.51 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-10-06 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | C. Broom | 2 - 1 | 1.95 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | G. Lomakin | 2 - 0 | 1.06 | 89% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | Y. L. Chen | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | K. S. Chen | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | M. Sasikumar | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | S. Tang | 0 - 2 | 1.02 | 94% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | C. Ferguson | 2 - 0 | 1.17 | 79% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Fajing Sun or Alibek Kachmazov?
Alibek Kachmazov is favourite at 1.69, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Fajing Sun vs Alibek Kachmazov?
Fajing Sun is 2.27 and Alibek Kachmazov is 1.69, the prices we recorded for the Wuning 3 (China) match.
What is the head-to-head between Fajing Sun and Alibek Kachmazov?
They have met 3 times and Alibek Kachmazov leads 3-0.
Who will win Fajing Sun vs Alibek Kachmazov?
Our model makes it Alibek Kachmazov to win at 1.68 (Solid confidence).