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WTAHardBeijing · 1/8-finals2026-10-06 05:00

Karolina Muchova v Naomi Osaka

The market

K. MuchovaFAV1.7257%
N. Osaka2.2543%
Market says57% Muchova

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

K. Muchova3
N. Osaka2
Head to head5 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-06BeijingK. MuchovavN. Osaka2 - 1
2026-07-07WimbledonN. OsakavK. Muchova0 - 2
2025-09-04US OpenK. MuchovavN. Osaka0 - 2
2025-01-15Australian OpenK. MuchovavN. Osaka1 - 2
2024-08-30WTA US OpenN. OsakavK. Muchova0 - 2

This season & this event

K. Muchova
N. Osaka
42-10
24-6
Lost R16 to A. Anisimova
Lost Final to C. Gauff
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
30-12
17-8
Lost R64 to A. Sasnovich
Lost R16 to C. Gauff

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Karolina Muchova
Czech Republic
Naomi Osaka
Japan
8
30
Czech Republic
41–10
2
22–5
6–3
11–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
17
28
Japan
30–11
0
15–6
7–3
8–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

K. Muchova — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06BeijingHardN. Osaka2 - 11.7257%WON
2026-10-04BeijingHardL. Samsonova2 - 11.2876%WON
2026-10-02BeijingHardK. Boulter2 - 01.1883%WON
2026-09-27WTA Billie Jean King Cup - World Group- QualificationA. Kalinina0 - 2——WON
2026-09-25WTA Billie Jean King Cup - World Group- QualificationJ. Bouzas Maneiro0 - 2——WON
2026-09-04US OpenHardE. Navarro2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardK. Boulter0 - 2——WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardS. Kraus0 - 2——WON
2026-07-11WimbledonGrassL. Noskova1 - 2——LOST
2026-07-09WimbledonGrassC. Gauff2 - 1——WON

N. Osaka — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06BeijingHardK. Muchova2 - 12.2557%LOST
2026-10-04BeijingHardS. Bejlek0 - 21.2772%WON
2026-10-02BeijingHardM. Timofeeva1 - 21.2677%WON
2026-09-07US OpenHardE. Rybakina0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-04US OpenHardE. Mertens2 - 1——WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardK. Siniakova2 - 1——WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardA. Zakharova2 - 0——WON
2026-08-12TorontoHardE. Rybakina1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-10TorontoHardL. Fernandez0 - 2——WON
2026-08-08TorontoHardE. Mertens0 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Karolina Muchova or Naomi Osaka?

Karolina Muchova is favourite at 1.72, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka?

Karolina Muchova is 1.72 and Naomi Osaka is 2.25, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.

What is the head-to-head between Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka?

They have met 5 times and Karolina Muchova leads 3-2.

Also at this event