ChallengerHard (Indoor)Sioux Falls2026-10-25 16:00

Karl Poling v Maxwell Exsted

The market

No published price yet

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

K. PolingLLWLL

M. ExstedLLLWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

K. Poling

M. Exsted

26-30

25-26

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

16-13

8-10

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Karl Poling

USA

Maxwell Exsted

USA

459

USA

25–28

22–25

3–3

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

1129

USA

16–17

7–10

8–6

1–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

K. Poling — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-18	Fort Worth (Usa) - Qualification, Hard	—	A. Rybakov	2.46	62%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 PolingRybakovPoints won48%52%Serve points won68%70%Return points won30%32%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved1 of 32 of 2Aces04Double faults00
2026-10-15	M25 Austin, TX	Hard	I. Urribarrens Ramirez	1.30	74%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 1-6 PolingRamirezPoints won38%62%Serve points won43%65%Return points won35%57%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved2 of 64 of 4
2026-10-13	M25 Austin, TX	Hard	A. McHugh	2.24	57%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3 PolingMcHughPoints won57%43%Serve points won83%65%Return points won35%17%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved0 of 02 of 4
2026-09-27	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	P. Zahraj	2.25	59%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 3-6 2-6 PolingZahrajPoints won47%53%Serve points won66%71%Return points won29%34%Games held10 of 1312 of 13Break points saved1 of 47 of 8Aces512Double faults01
2026-09-22	St. Tropez	Hard	T. Droguet	—	—	LOST
Games in each set7-6 4-6 6-7 PolingDroguetPoints won48%52%Serve points won66%66%Return points won34%34%Games held13 of 1714 of 17Break points saved1 of 55 of 8Aces214Double faults28
2026-09-21	St. Tropez	Hard	M. Echargui	3.37	72%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-7 PolingEcharguiPoints won49%51%Serve points won69%71%Return points won29%31%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved7 of 94 of 5Aces64Double faults11
2026-09-20	St. Tropez	Hard	Y. Ghazouani Durand	2.45	61%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-1 PolingDurandPoints won68%32%Serve points won79%46%Return points won54%21%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved0 of 02 of 6Aces62Double faults34
2026-09-13	Rennes	Hard (Indoor)	N. Slavic	1.49	64%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 7-6 6-7 PolingSlavicPoints won49%51%Serve points won60%62%Return points won38%40%Games held13 of 1813 of 18Break points saved3 of 84 of 9Aces416Double faults52
2026-08-25	Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - Qualification	Hard	T. J. Fancutt	—	—	LOST
Games in each set4-6 3-6 PolingFancuttPoints won44%56%Serve points won61%82%Return points won18%39%Games held7 of 109 of 9Break points saved2 of 50 of 0Aces211Double faults02
2026-08-17	Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification	Hard	S. Sakellaridis	4.65	80%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 3-6 2-6 PolingSakellaridisPoints won47%53%Serve points won60%70%Return points won30%40%Games held10 of 1312 of 13Break points saved12 of 154 of 5Aces120Double faults47

M. Exsted — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-14	M15 Lexington, KY	Hard	J. Anthrop	2.77	65%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-3 3-6 ExstedAnthropPoints won47%53%Serve points won53%61%Return points won39%47%Games held7 of 139 of 13Break points saved3 of 82 of 5
2026-09-13	Tiburon	Hard	L. Staeheli	2.08	54%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 4-6 3-6 ExstedStaeheliPoints won46%54%Serve points won59%66%Return points won34%41%Games held10 of 1412 of 15Break points saved0 of 47 of 10Aces15Double faults14
2026-08-21	M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay)	Clay	J. Aguilar Cardozo	4.25	78%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 3-6 ExstedCardozoPoints won40%60%Serve points won46%67%Return points won33%54%Games held4 of 97 of 9Break points saved2 of 73 of 5
2026-08-20	M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay)	Clay	S. De La Fuente	1.70	56%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-3 ExstedFuentePoints won57%43%Serve points won60%46%Return points won54%40%Games held7 of 93 of 8Break points saved3 of 52 of 7
2026-08-19	M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay)	Clay	B. Torrealba	1.48	65%	WON
Games in each set6-0 7-5 ExstedTorrealbaPoints won58%42%Serve points won59%43%Return points won57%41%Games held7 of 93 of 9Break points saved2 of 44 of 10
2026-08-18	M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay)	Clay	S. Giamichelle	1.39	69%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-0 ExstedGiamichellePoints won60%40%Serve points won63%42%Return points won58%37%Games held6 of 72 of 8Break points saved1 of 27 of 13
2026-08-13	M15 Asuncion	Clay	R. Tosetto	1.26	76%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 3-6 4-6 ExstedTosettoPoints won49%51%Serve points won63%62%Return points won38%37%Games held10 of 1411 of 14Break points saved2 of 66 of 9
2026-08-12	M15 Asuncion	Clay	N. Villalon	1.32	72%	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-1 6-2
2026-08-11	M15 Asuncion	Clay	T. Martinez	1.51	63%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-6 ExstedMartinezPoints won54%46%Serve points won55%47%Return points won53%45%Games held6 of 105 of 11Break points saved3 of 62 of 7
2026-08-06	M25 Southaven, MS	Hard	M. Dussault	1.71	56%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 1-6

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