THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 04 OCTOBERMATCHES 125EVENTS 38ALERTS 65
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Mouilleron-Le-Captif2026-10-03 14:30

Josef Schwaerzler Joel v Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
S. Gueymard Wayenburg to win1.63
Price too short today - wait for 1.84 or bigger · our chance 55% · market 43/57, us 45/55

S. Gueymard Wayenburg is 9-1 over the last ten and 19-12 on hard this season. J. J. Schwaerzler is 5-5 over the last ten and 17-10 on hard this season.

The pick is S. Gueymard Wayenburg to win. We make it a 55% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.84 or bigger. At 1.63 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. J. SchwaerzlerS. Gueymard Wayenburg
254Ranking332
5-5Last 109-1
WWWLLLast 5WWWWW
+1.2V the odds+1.2
33-25Season27-24
17-10Hard 202619-12
3Last 7 days3
1dDays rest1d
3Wins here3
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. J. Schwaerzler2.1243%
S. Gueymard WayenburgFAV1.6357%
Market says57% Wayenburg

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. J. Schwaerzler0
S. Gueymard Wayenburg1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-03Mouilleron-Le-CaptifJ. J. SchwaerzlervS. Gueymard Wayenburg0 - 2

This season & this event

J. J. Schwaerzler
S. Gueymard Wayenburg
33-26
17-11
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
28-25
20-13
Lost R32 to M. Kukushkin
Lost QF to D. Prizmic

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Josef Joel Schwaerzler
Austria
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
France
254
20
Austria
2–1
0
2–1
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
332
23
France
19–24
0
8–9
11–15
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. J. Schwaerzler — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-03Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)S. Gueymard Wayenburg0 - 22.1257%LOST
2026-10-02Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)L. Poullain0 - 21.6160%WON
2026-10-01Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)H. Wendelken2 - 02.1656%WON
2026-09-29Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)A. Barroso Campos0 - 21.2176%WON
2026-09-21Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayM. Chazal2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-03MallorcaHardL. Potenza2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-01MallorcaHardM. Basing1 - 2——WON
2026-08-26US OpenHardA. Guerrieri2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-24US OpenHardG. Heide2 - 1——WON
2026-08-19Kingston (Jamaica)HardK. Miyoshi0 - 2——LOST

S. Gueymard Wayenburg — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)C. Chidekh0 - 22.1856%LOST
2026-10-03Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)J. J. Schwaerzler0 - 21.6357%WON
2026-10-02Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)C. Tabur1 - 21.6758%WON
2026-10-01Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)G. Onclin2 - 01.5761%WON
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)P. Herbert0 - 21.5062%WON
2026-09-20RennesHard (Indoor)H. Mayot1 - 2——WON
2026-09-19RennesHard (Indoor)T. Droguet2 - 1——WON
2026-09-18RennesHard (Indoor)F. Maestrelli0 - 2——WON
2026-09-16RennesHard (Indoor)U. Blanchet2 - 0——WON
2026-09-15RennesHard (Indoor)M. Janvier0 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Josef Schwaerzler Joel or Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg?

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg is favourite at 1.63, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Josef Schwaerzler Joel vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg?

Josef Schwaerzler Joel is 2.12 and Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg is 1.63, the prices we recorded for the Mouilleron-Le-Captif match.

What is the head-to-head between Josef Schwaerzler Joel and Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg?

They have met 1 time and Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg leads 1-0.

Who will win Josef Schwaerzler Joel vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg?

Our model makes it Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg to win at 1.63 (Lean confidence).

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