Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo v Lautaro Midon
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTJ. Aguilar Cardozo is 9-1 over the last ten and 41-10 on clay this season. L. Midon is 6-4 over the last ten and 25-16 on clay this season. The head to head is J. Aguilar Cardozo 0-2.
The pick is J. Aguilar Cardozo to win. We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.89 or bigger. At 1.84 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Aguilar Cardozo | L. Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| 342 | Ranking | 206 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WWWLW | Last 5 | WLWWL |
| +1.0 | V the odds | +1.2 |
| 44-12 | Season | 33-22 |
| 41-10 | Clay 2026 | 25-16 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 3 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Antofagasta | J. Aguilar CardozovL. Midon | 1 - 2 |
| 2025-03-27 | M25 Lujan | L. MidonvJ. Aguilar Cardozo | 2 - 1 |
| 2024-09-18 | M15 Asuncion | L. MidonvJ. Aguilar Cardozo | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Aguilar Cardozo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Antofagasta | Clay | L. Midon | 1 - 2 | 1.81 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-10-06 | Antofagasta | Clay | N. Villalon | 2 - 0 | 1.07 | 89% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | L. J. Rodriguez | 2 - 1 | 1.15 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Antofagasta | Clay | S. De La Fuente | 2 - 1 | 1.03 | 92% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | A. Barrena | 0 - 2 | 1.51 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 0 | 1.64 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | F. Comesana | 1 - 2 | 3.25 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | C. M. Zarate | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | F. Aguilar Cardozo | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | M. Del Pino | 2 - 0 | 1.01 | 95% | WON |
L. Midon — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Antofagasta | Clay | E. Ribeiro | 0 - 2 | 1.47 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-10-08 | Antofagasta | Clay | J. Aguilar Cardozo | 1 - 2 | 2.04 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-10-06 | Antofagasta | Clay | J. Pereira | 1 - 2 | 1.12 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Curitiba | Clay | G. Heide | 2 - 0 | 3.13 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | B. Fernandez | 0 - 2 | 1.12 | 84% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | M. Soto | 0 - 2 | 1.55 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | K. Jacquet | 2 - 0 | 5.33 | 82% | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | C. Chidekh | 2 - 0 | 3.21 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | I. Marcondes | 1 - 1 RET | 2.10 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-08-17 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | D. Martin | 1 - 2 | 1.17 | 80% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo or Lautaro Midon?
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is favourite at 1.81, which is a 53% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Lautaro Midon?
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is 1.81 and Lautaro Midon is 2.04, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.
What is the head-to-head between Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo and Lautaro Midon?
They have met 3 times and Lautaro Midon leads 3-0.
Who will win Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Lautaro Midon?
Our model makes it Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo to win at 1.84 (Lean confidence).