THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 09 OCTOBERMATCHES 136EVENTS 35ALERTS 106
ChallengerClayAntofagasta2026-10-08 15:00

Gustavo Heide v Eduardo Ribeiro

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
G. Heide to win 2-01.44
Price too short today - wait for 1.82 or bigger · our chance 55% · market 81/19, us 83/17

G. Heide is 8-2 over the last ten and 32-14 on clay this season. E. Ribeiro is 5-5 over the last ten and 20-20 on clay this season. G. Heide has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is G. Heide 3-2.

The pick is G. Heide to win 2-0. We make it a 55% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.82 or bigger. At 1.44 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

G. HeideE. Ribeiro
116Ranking407
8-2Last 105-5
WLWWWLast 5WLLWW
+0.4V the odds-0.4
39-22Season21-21
32-14Clay 202620-20
4Last 7 days1
2dDays rest3d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
3-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

G. HeideFAV1.1881%
E. Ribeiro5.0319%
Market says81% Heide

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

G. Heide3
E. Ribeiro3
Head to head6 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-08AntofagastaG. HeidevE. Ribeiro1 - 2
2026-03-06Brasilia 2E. RibeirovG. Heide2 - 1
2023-09-27Bogota Challenger MenG. HeidevE. Ribeiro2 - 0
2022-11-26M25+H LajeadoG. HeidevE. Ribeiro1 - 2
2021-11-05M15 BrasiliaE. RibeirovG. Heide0 - 2
2021-09-25M15 RecifeE. RibeirovG. Heide0 - 2

This season & this event

G. Heide
E. Ribeiro
39-23
32-15
Did not play
Lost QF to A. Collarini
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
22-22
21-21
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Gustavo Heide
Brazil
Eduardo Ribeiro
Brazil
116
24
Brazil
38–22
2
1–5
34–15
1–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
407
28
Brazil
9–8
0
—
9–8
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

G. Heide — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-08AntofagastaClayE. Ribeiro1 - 21.1881%LOST
2026-10-06AntofagastaClayM. Zeitune2 - 11.1285%WON
2026-10-04CuritibaClayG. I. Justo0 - 21.2875%LOST
2026-10-03CuritibaClayP. Boscardin Dias2 - 01.2080%WON
2026-10-02CuritibaClayL. Midon2 - 01.4069%WON
2026-09-30CuritibaClayF. Meligeni Alves2 - 01.3272%WON
2026-09-28CuritibaClayH. Casanova2 - 01.1782%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryS. Wawrinka2 - 12.4562%WON
2026-09-11TullnClayM. Brunold2 - 01.3970%LOST
2026-09-10TullnClayD. Dedura0 - 21.6559%WON

E. Ribeiro — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-09AntofagastaClayL. Midon0 - 22.8266%LOST
2026-10-08AntofagastaClayG. Heide1 - 25.0381%WON
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayS. Heredia0 - 21.2574%WON
2026-09-29CuritibaClayP. Sakamoto0 - 21.5462%LOST
2026-09-25Buenos Aires 3ClayP. Boscardin Dias2 - 02.0053%LOST
2026-09-24Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Coria0 - 21.7156%WON
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayP. Martinez2 - 0——WON
2026-09-01Porto 2ClayP. Vives Marcos2 - 01.8253%LOST
2026-08-31Porto 2ClayJ. Sels2 - 11.3371%WON
2026-08-30Porto 2ClayN. Barrientos2 - 01.3371%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Gustavo Heide or Eduardo Ribeiro?

Gustavo Heide is favourite at 1.18, which is a 81% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Gustavo Heide vs Eduardo Ribeiro?

Gustavo Heide is 1.18 and Eduardo Ribeiro is 5.03, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.

What is the head-to-head between Gustavo Heide and Eduardo Ribeiro?

They have met 6 times and they are level at 3-3.

Who will win Gustavo Heide vs Eduardo Ribeiro?

Our model makes it Gustavo Heide to win 2-0 at 1.44 (Lean confidence).

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