THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 15 OCTOBERMATCHES 217EVENTS 35LIVE 6ALERTS 148
ITFHardM25 Qian Daohu2026-10-14 04:00

Jamie Mackenzie v Luca Castelnuovo

The market

J. MackenzieFAV1.8051%
L. Castelnuovo1.9149%
Market says51% Mackenzie

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

J. Mackenzie
L. Castelnuovo
25-19
13-9
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
27-23
25-17
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Jamie Mackenzie
Germany
Luca Castelnuovo
Switzerland
1217
56
Germany
6–9
0
3–4
3–4
0–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
376
29
Switzerland
27–21
1
25–15
1–4
1–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Mackenzie — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-15M25 Qian DaohuHardY. Takahashi2 - 11.3869%LOST
2026-10-14M25 Qian DaohuHardC. Crowther2 - 01.1285%WON
2026-09-11US OpenHardM. Latak2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-10US OpenHardJ. Kennedy1 - 2——WON
2026-09-09US OpenHardC. Doig0 - 2——WON
2026-09-08US OpenHardK. Watanabe0 - 2——WON
2026-09-06US OpenHardM. Reyniak1 - 2——WON
2026-08-11HamburgClayJ. Kumstat1 - 22.6364%LOST
2026-08-04HagenClayE. Moller2 - 02.6363%LOST
2026-08-02BonnClayJ. Choinski2 - 04.5879%LOST

L. Castelnuovo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardA. Santillan1 - 21.8350%LOST
2026-09-22ChengduHardP. Kotov1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-16Guangzhou 2HardE. Ymer2 - 02.5964%LOST
2026-09-15Guangzhou 2HardO. Jasika1 - 1 RET2.3059%WON
2026-09-12ShanghaiHardI. Ivashka0 - 24.4678%LOST
2026-09-11ShanghaiHardS. Nam Ji0 - 21.6357%WON
2026-09-09ShanghaiHardWu Tung-Lin0 - 22.7566%WON
2026-09-08ShanghaiHardC. H. Tseng2 - 15.6483%WON
2026-09-07ShanghaiHardT. Huang2 - 01.4065%WON
2026-09-01ZhangjiagangHardM. Dellavedova1 - 1 RET2.6064%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Jamie Mackenzie or Luca Castelnuovo?

Jamie Mackenzie is favourite at 1.80, which is a 51% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Jamie Mackenzie vs Luca Castelnuovo?

Jamie Mackenzie is 1.80 and Luca Castelnuovo is 1.91, the prices we recorded for the M25 Qian Daohu match.

Also at this event