Jakub Paul v Niels McDonald
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONJ. Paul is 5-5 over the last ten and 1-3 on hard this season. N. McDonald is 4-6 over the last ten and 4-7 on hard this season.
The pick is J. Paul to win. We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.90 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Paul | N. McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | - |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LWLWL | Last 5 | LWLLL |
| +0.6 | V the odds | -0.8 |
| 6-8 | Season | 24-22 |
| 1-3 | Hard 2026 | 4-7 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 55d | Days rest | 13d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| 55d out | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Roanne | J. PaulvN. McDonald | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Paul — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | L. Massard | 0 - 2 | 1.62 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-10-11 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | N. McDonald | 2 - 1 | 1.90 | 50% | WON |
| 2026-08-17 | Prague | Clay | R. Molleker | 0 - 2 | 1.94 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-08-16 | Prague | Clay | S. Gulin | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-06-15 | Parma | Clay | E. Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | 2.53 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-06-14 | Parma | Clay | M. Mecarelli | 0 - 2 | 1.22 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-05-12 | Valencia | Clay | N. Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 1 | 5.31 | 82% | LOST |
| 2026-05-11 | Valencia | Clay | S. Napolitano | 2 - 0 | 3.26 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-03-29 | Marrakech | Clay | D. Lajovic | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-03-24 | Naples | Clay | A. Muller | 0 - 2 | 3.62 | 73% | LOST |
N. McDonald — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | J. Paul | 2 - 1 | 1.93 | 50% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | N. Visker | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | Z. Cado | 0 - 2 | 1.08 | 87% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Porto 2 | Clay | E. Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | 2.27 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Augsburg | Clay | C. Cretu | 2 - 0 | 2.01 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | Hamburg | Clay | M. Moeller | 2 - 0 | 2.30 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-08-12 | Hamburg | Clay | E. Ribeiro | 2 - 1 | 1.55 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-08-10 | Hamburg | Clay | M. Petkovic | 1 - 2 | 1.56 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-08-04 | Hagen | Clay | J. Kym | 0 - 2 | 2.97 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-07-29 | Bonn | Clay | J. Rodionov | 0 - 2 | 3.17 | 70% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Jakub Paul or Niels McDonald?
Jakub Paul is favourite at 1.90, which is a 50% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Jakub Paul vs Niels McDonald?
Jakub Paul is 1.90 and Niels McDonald is 1.93, the prices we recorded for the Roanne match.
What is the head-to-head between Jakub Paul and Niels McDonald?
They have met 1 time and Jakub Paul leads 1-0.
Who will win Jakub Paul vs Niels McDonald?
Our model makes it Jakub Paul to win at 1.90 (Lean confidence).