Jaime Faria v Hugo Gaston
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTJ. Faria is 8-2 over the last ten and 16-8 on hard this season. H. Gaston is 6-4 over the last ten and 14-12 on hard this season.
The pick is J. Faria to win. We make it a 70% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.43 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Faria | H. Gaston | |
|---|---|---|
| 72 | Ranking | 118 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WWLWL | Last 5 | WLWWW |
| +3.4 | V the odds | +1.1 |
| 49-23 | Season | 30-25 |
| 16-8 | Hard 2026 | 14-12 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 3d | Days rest | 3d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Hangzhou | J. FariavH. Gaston | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Faria — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Hangzhou | Hard | H. Gaston | 1 - 2 | 1.57 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | T. Atmane | 2 - 1 | 2.18 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | C. Cruz | 0 - 2 | 1.02 | 93% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | C. Alcaraz | 1 - 3 | 9.18 | 89% | LOST |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | J. Brooksby | 3 - 2 | 2.06 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Cincinnati | Hard | L. Musetti | 0 - 2 | 3.55 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Walton | 2 - 1 | 1.68 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati | Hard | B. Shelton | 0 - 2 | 5.56 | 83% | WON |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | J. Brooksby | 2 - 0 | 2.26 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati | Hard | Y. Wu | 2 - 0 | 2.00 | 52% | WON |
H. Gaston — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Hangzhou | Hard | J. Faria | 1 - 2 | 2.56 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | S. Shimabukuro | 0 - 2 | 1.71 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | D. Medvedev | 3 - 0 | 6.68 | 86% | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | C. Smith | 2 - 1 | 1.72 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | A. Ilagan | 2 - 0 | 1.67 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | G. I. Justo | 2 - 0 | 1.13 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-08-22 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | L. van Assche | 0 - 2 | 2.77 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-08-21 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | J. De Jong | 0 - 2 | 2.50 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | A. Popyrin | 0 - 0 RET | 2.93 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-08-12 | Cincinnati | Hard | N. Budkov Kjaer | 1 - 2 | 1.74 | 55% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Jaime Faria or Hugo Gaston?
Jaime Faria is favourite at 1.57, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston?
Jaime Faria is 1.57 and Hugo Gaston is 2.56, the prices we recorded for the Hangzhou match.
What is the head-to-head between Jaime Faria and Hugo Gaston?
They have met 1 time and Hugo Gaston leads 1-0.
Who will win Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston?
Our model makes it Jaime Faria to win at 1.53 (Solid confidence).