Daniil Medvedev v Valentin Royer
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTV. Royer is 7-3 over the last ten and 9-14 on hard this season. D. Medvedev is 5-5 over the last ten and 24-9 on hard this season.
The pick is V. Royer to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.68 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| D. Medvedev | V. Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ranking | 71 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LWWLL | Last 5 | WLWWW |
| -2.8 | V the odds | +1.4 |
| 33-16 | Season | 23-26 |
| 24-9 | Hard 2026 | 9-14 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 20d | Days rest | 3d |
| 0 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Defending final |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
D. Medvedev — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Hangzhou | Hard | V. Royer | 2 - 0 | 1.28 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-09-06 | US Open | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 0 - 3 | 1.60 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | S. Gorzny | 3 - 0 | 1.05 | 93% | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | H. Gaston | 3 - 0 | 1.13 | 86% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | M. Damm | 0 - 2 | 1.27 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati | Hard | B. Nakashima | 2 - 1 | 1.72 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | M. Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | 1.15 | 84% | WON |
| 2026-08-06 | Montreal | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | 1.30 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | J-L. Struff | 3 - 0 | 1.20 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | D. Merida Aguilar | 1 - 3 | 1.04 | 93% | WON |
V. Royer — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Hangzhou | Hard | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 | 3.99 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Walton | 2 - 0 | 2.07 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | D. Svrcina | 3 - 2 | 1.86 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-22 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | P. Martinez | 2 - 0 | 1.41 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-08-21 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | C. Chidekh | 2 - 1 | 1.57 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | G. Bueno | 2 - 0 | 1.21 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | T. Zink | 2 - 0 | 1.30 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | L. A. Miguel | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | 4.00 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-08-06 | Montreal | Hard | T. Paul | 0 - 2 | 5.24 | 81% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Daniil Medvedev or Valentin Royer?
Daniil Medvedev is favourite at 1.28, which is a 76% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Daniil Medvedev vs Valentin Royer?
Daniil Medvedev is 1.28 and Valentin Royer is 3.99, the prices we recorded for the Hangzhou match.
Who will win Daniil Medvedev vs Valentin Royer?
Our model makes it Valentin Royer to win a set (Solid confidence).