Hugo Gaston v Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidN. Budkov Kjaer is 7-3 over the last ten and 21-14 on hard this season. H. Gaston is 7-3 over the last ten and 17-14 on hard this season. H. Gaston took a medical timeout on 2026-10-05. The head to head is H. Gaston 1-2.
The pick is N. Budkov Kjaer to win. We make it a 50% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.00 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| H. Gaston | N. Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| 87 | Ranking | 146 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WWLLW | Last 5 | WWLWL |
| +1.6 | V the odds | +0.4 |
| 33-27 | Season | 31-30 |
| 17-14 | Hard 2026 | 21-14 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 1d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| MTODefending final | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Cincinnati | H. GastonvN. Budkov Kjaer | 1 - 2 |
| 2025-10-10 | Roanne | N. Budkov KjaervH. Gaston | 1 - 2 |
| 2025-09-23 | Orleans | N. Budkov KjaervH. Gaston | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
H. Gaston — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | P. Herbert | 2 - 1 | 1.40 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | D. Jade | 2 - 0 | 1.18 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Draxl | 0 - 2 | 1.68 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Rublev | 1 - 2 | 4.38 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-09-26 | Hangzhou | Hard | J. Faria | 1 - 2 | 2.56 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | S. Shimabukuro | 0 - 2 | 1.71 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | D. Medvedev | 3 - 0 | 6.68 | 86% | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | C. Smith | 2 - 1 | 1.72 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | A. Ilagan | 2 - 0 | 1.67 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | G. I. Justo | 2 - 0 | 1.13 | 85% | WON |
N. Budkov Kjaer — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | M. Kouame | 0 - 2 | 1.78 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-10-13 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | J. Paul | 0 - 2 | 1.22 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | F. Balshaw | 2 - 1 | 1.57 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | Y. Ghazouani Durand | 0 - 2 | 1.23 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | B. Harris | 1 - 2 | 1.56 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | J. Cui | 2 - 1 | 1.04 | 92% | WON |
| 2026-09-12 | Cassis | Hard | T. Droguet | 2 - 1 | 2.72 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | Cassis | Hard | M. Echargui | 2 - 1 | 1.41 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | Cassis | Hard | Y. Ghazouani Durand | 2 - 0 | 1.21 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Cassis | Hard | F. Balshaw | 2 - 0 | 1.93 | 50% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Hugo Gaston or Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Hugo Gaston is favourite at 1.76, which is a 55% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Hugo Gaston is 1.76 and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 2.14, the prices we recorded for the Roanne match.
What is the head-to-head between Hugo Gaston and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
They have met 3 times and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 2-1.
Who will win Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Our model makes it Nicolai Budkov Kjaer to win at 2.11 (Solid confidence).