Henry Bernet v Thijs Boogaard
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONH. Bernet is 9-1 over the last ten and 10-7 on hard this season. T. Boogaard is 4-6 over the last ten and 21-12 on hard this season. T. Boogaard took a medical timeout on 2026-10-04.
The pick is H. Bernet to win 2-0. We make it a 56% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.80 or bigger. At 1.50 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| H. Bernet | T. Boogaard | |
|---|---|---|
| 483 | Ranking | 1206 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| WLWWW | Last 5 | WLLLW |
| +2.6 | V the odds | -3.8 |
| 29-21 | Season | 29-19 |
| 10-7 | Hard 2026 | 21-12 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | H. BernetvT. Boogaard | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
H. Bernet — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | C. Tabur | 1 - 2 | 1.84 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | T. Boogaard | 2 - 0 | 1.17 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-10-11 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | M. Neuchrist | 2 - 0 | 1.08 | 88% | WON |
| 2026-10-03 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | C. Chidekh | 2 - 0 | 2.73 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-10-02 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | F. Balshaw | 2 - 1 | 1.80 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | D. Stricker | 2 - 0 | 2.40 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | D. Glinka | 0 - 2 | 2.30 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | M25 Falun | Hard (Indoor) | S. Banerjee | 0 - 2 | 1.82 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | M25 Falun | Hard (Indoor) | A. Petrovic | 2 - 0 | 1.22 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | M25 Falun | Hard (Indoor) | K. Friberg | 0 - 2 | 1.27 | 75% | WON |
T. Boogaard — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | H. Bernet | 2 - 0 | 4.50 | 79% | LOST |
| 2026-10-11 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | T. Trufelli | 1 - 2 | 1.33 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Villena | Clay | P. Henning | 2 - 1 | 2.87 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | A. Barroso Campos | 2 - 0 | 1.25 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | M25 Falun | Hard (Indoor) | L. Renard | 2 - 0 | 1.02 | 94% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | M25 Falun | Hard (Indoor) | L. Nyqvist | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | M15 Hurghada 8 (Egypt) | Hard | S. Petrov | 0 - 2 | 1.05 | 92% | LOST |
| 2026-09-04 | M15 Hurghada 7 (Egypt) | Hard | C. Gannon | 0 - 2 | 1.17 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-09-03 | M15 Hurghada 7 (Egypt) | Hard | Z. Vanderstappen | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | M15 Hurghada 7 (Egypt) | Hard | K. Mabrouk | 2 - 0 | 1.04 | 93% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Henry Bernet or Thijs Boogaard?
Henry Bernet is favourite at 1.17, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Henry Bernet vs Thijs Boogaard?
Henry Bernet is 1.17 and Thijs Boogaard is 4.50, the prices we recorded for the Roanne match.
What is the head-to-head between Henry Bernet and Thijs Boogaard?
They have met 1 time and Henry Bernet leads 1-0.
Who will win Henry Bernet vs Thijs Boogaard?
Our model makes it Henry Bernet to win 2-0 at 1.50 (Lean confidence).