ChallengerHard (Indoor)Taipei2026-11-05 03:00

Harold Mayot v Sho Shimabukuro

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

H. Mayot to win a set (set handicap +1.5)

Worth backing at 1.32 or bigger · our chance 76% · market 49/51, us 52/48

H. Mayot is 6-4 over the last ten and 22-10 on hard this season. S. Shimabukuro is 5-5 over the last ten and 25-25 on hard this season. The head to head is H. Mayot 1-1.

The pick is H. Mayot to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 76% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.32 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

H. Mayot		S. Shimabukuro
186	Ranking	109
6-4	Last 10	5-5
WLWWL	Last 5	WLWWL
-0.4	V the odds	+0.8
28-19	Season	34-30
22-10	Hard 2026	25-25
3	Last 7 days	3
3d	Days rest	3d
1	Wins here	1
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head 1-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

H. Mayot1.8749%

S. ShimabukuroFAV1.8051%

Market says51% Shimabukuro

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

H. MayotWLWWL

S. ShimabukuroWLWWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

H. Mayot1

S. Shimabukuro1

Head to head2 meetings

Date	Event	Match	Score
2025-10-17	Shenzhen 4	S. ShimabukurovH. Mayot	6-2 6-3
2022-01-20	M25 Monastir 3	H. MayotvS. Shimabukuro	6-1 6-1

This season & this event

H. Mayot

S. Shimabukuro

28-19

22-10

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

34-30

25-25

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Harold Mayot

France

Sho Shimabukuro

Japan

186

France

25–18

22–10

2–6

1–2

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

109

Japan

30–28

21–22

0–2

7–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

H. Mayot — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	P. Bar Biryukov		1.16	83%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-6 MayotBiryukovPoints won54%46%Serve points won72%63%Return points won37%28%Games held9 of 118 of 11Break points saved0 of 12 of 4Aces109Double faults33
2026-10-30	Ningbo	Hard	Y. Demin		1.28	76%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 MayotDeminPoints won45%55%Serve points won60%69%Return points won31%40%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved5 of 75 of 5Aces26Double faults03
2026-10-29	Ningbo	Hard	K. Uchida		1.08	88%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-3 MayotUchidaPoints won61%39%Serve points won73%48%Return points won52%27%Games held7 of 84 of 9Break points saved1 of 24 of 9Aces53Double faults17
2026-10-27	Ningbo	Hard	T. Zhang		1.04	92%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 MayotZhangPoints won57%43%Serve points won73%58%Return points won42%27%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved0 of 12 of 5Aces43Double faults01
2026-10-17	Almaty	Hard (Indoor)	G. Diallo		1.85	52%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 2-6 MayotDialloPoints won43%57%Serve points won62%84%Return points won16%38%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved4 of 71 of 2Aces310Double faults20
2026-10-02	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	C. Chidekh	RET	2.04	53%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 2-6 0-2 MayotChidekhPoints won46%54%Serve points won52%60%Return points won40%48%Games held6 of 107 of 9Break points saved1 of 50 of 2Aces31Double faults10
2026-10-01	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	T. Schoolkate		1.60	60%	WON
Games in each set6-4 2-6 6-4 MayotSchoolkatePoints won51%49%Serve points won66%62%Return points won38%34%Games held10 of 1410 of 14Break points saved2 of 65 of 9Aces106Double faults01
2026-09-29	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	N. Visker		1.25	77%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-5 MayotViskerPoints won57%43%Serve points won83%63%Return points won37%17%Games held10 of 108 of 11Break points saved0 of 02 of 5Aces29Double faults15
2026-09-27	St. Tropez	Hard	T. Droguet		—	—	LOST
Games in each set3-6 5-7 MayotDroguetPoints won44%56%Serve points won50%60%Return points won40%50%Games held5 of 108 of 11Break points saved5 of 103 of 6Aces25Double faults54
2026-09-26	St. Tropez	Hard	M. Cassone	RET	1.58	62%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-2 4-2 MayotCassonePoints won53%47%Serve points won60%54%Return points won46%40%Games held10 of 138 of 13Break points saved3 of 67 of 12Aces36Double faults36

S. Shimabukuro — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	M. Poljicak	1.33	73%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-6 ShimabukuroPoljicakPoints won51%49%Serve points won72%69%Return points won31%28%Games held11 of 1110 of 11Break points saved3 of 32 of 3Aces710Double faults02
2026-10-30	Seoul	Hard	C. Wong	2.61	63%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 1-6 ShimabukuroWongPoints won45%55%Serve points won54%62%Return points won38%46%Games held5 of 98 of 10Break points saved4 of 84 of 6Aces26Double faults22
2026-10-29	Seoul	Hard	J. D. Hara Friend	1.79	54%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-1 ShimabukuroFriendPoints won58%42%Serve points won63%48%Return points won52%37%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved5 of 65 of 10Aces31Double faults22
2026-10-27	Seoul	Hard	J. Kumstat	1.72	56%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-0 ShimabukuroKumstatPoints won57%43%Serve points won67%53%Return points won47%33%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved0 of 04 of 8Aces45Double faults14
2026-10-21	Almaty	Hard (Indoor)	D. Medvedev	10.81	91%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 1-6 ShimabukuroMedvedevPoints won34%66%Serve points won46%79%Return points won21%54%Games held3 of 87 of 7Break points saved5 of 103 of 3Aces17Double faults41
2026-10-20	Almaty	Hard (Indoor)	R. Safiullin	6.14	84%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-4 6-4 ShimabukuroSafiullinPoints won50%50%Serve points won67%68%Return points won32%33%Games held15 of 1613 of 16Break points saved3 of 43 of 6Aces918Double faults15
2026-10-07	Shanghai	Hard	M. Kecmanovic	3.02	68%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 4-6 ShimabukuroKecmanovicPoints won44%56%Serve points won56%71%Return points won29%44%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved6 of 91 of 1Aces64Double faults00
2026-09-30	Tokyo	Hard	D. Shapovalov	3.42	72%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 1-6 ShimabukuroShapovalovPoints won39%61%Serve points won50%72%Return points won28%50%Games held5 of 99 of 10Break points saved3 of 75 of 6Aces111Double faults62
2026-09-23	Hangzhou	Hard	H. Gaston	2.24	57%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 ShimabukuroGastonPoints won47%53%Serve points won62%68%Return points won32%38%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved3 of 64 of 5Aces43Double faults31
2026-09-20	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	A. Shepp	1.33	73%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 ShimabukuroSheppPoints won55%45%Serve points won68%57%Return points won43%32%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved0 of 14 of 8Aces35Double faults23

Common questions

Who is favourite, Harold Mayot or Sho Shimabukuro?

Sho Shimabukuro is favourite at 1.80, which is a 51% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro?

Harold Mayot is 1.87 and Sho Shimabukuro is 1.80, the prices we recorded for the Taipei match.

What is the head-to-head between Harold Mayot and Sho Shimabukuro?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro?

Our model makes it Harold Mayot to win a set (Lean confidence).

Also at this event

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