THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 04 OCTOBERMATCHES 125EVENTS 38ALERTS 65
ChallengerClayCuritiba2026-10-03 18:30

Gustavo Heide v Pedro Boscardin Dias

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
G. Heide to win 2-01.60
Price too short today - wait for 1.88 or bigger · our chance 53% · market 80/20, us 82/18

G. Heide is 8-2 over the last ten and 30-13 on clay this season. P. Boscardin Dias is 6-4 over the last ten and 19-19 on clay this season. P. Boscardin Dias has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is G. Heide 3-2.

The pick is G. Heide to win 2-0. We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.88 or bigger. At 1.60 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

G. HeideP. Boscardin Dias
123Ranking262
8-2Last 106-4
WWWWLLast 5WWWLW
+0.8V the odds+1.1
37-21Season24-24
30-13Clay 202619-19
3Last 7 days4
1dDays rest1d
3Wins here3
Defending titleFitnessDefending title
Head to head
3-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

G. HeideFAV1.1880%
P. Boscardin Dias4.6520%
Market says80% Heide

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

G. Heide4
P. Boscardin Dias2
Head to head6 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-03CuritibaG. HeidevP. Boscardin Dias2 - 0
2026-04-11CampinasG. HeidevP. Boscardin Dias2 - 0
2026-03-31Sao LeopoldoG. HeidevP. Boscardin Dias2 - 0
2022-05-11CoquimboG. HeidevP. Boscardin Dias0 - 2
2021-10-24M25 Rio do SulP. Boscardin DiasvG. Heide2 - 0
2021-09-09M15 IbagueP. Boscardin DiasvG. Heide0 - 2

This season & this event

G. Heide
Defending title
P. Boscardin Dias
Defending title
38-22
31-14
Champion
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
24-25
19-20
Champion
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Gustavo Heide
Brazil
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Brazil
123
24
Brazil
33–21
2
1–5
30–14
1–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
262
23
Brazil
21–24
0
—
21–23
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

G. Heide — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04CuritibaClayG. I. Justo0 - 21.2577%LOST
2026-10-03CuritibaClayP. Boscardin Dias2 - 01.1880%WON
2026-10-02CuritibaClayL. Midon2 - 01.3868%WON
2026-09-30CuritibaClayF. Meligeni Alves2 - 01.3272%WON
2026-09-28CuritibaClayH. Casanova2 - 01.1782%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryS. Wawrinka2 - 1——WON
2026-09-11TullnClayM. Brunold2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-10TullnClayD. Dedura0 - 2——WON
2026-09-08TullnClayS. Cuenin0 - 2——WON
2026-09-05Porto 2ClayF. Mena1 - 2——LOST

P. Boscardin Dias — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-03CuritibaClayG. Heide2 - 04.6580%LOST
2026-10-02CuritibaClayL. A. Miguel2 - 1——WON
2026-10-01CuritibaClayG. A. Olivieri2 - 01.6855%WON
2026-09-29CuritibaClayV. H. Remondy Pagotto0 - 2——WON
2026-09-26Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Mena0 - 22.5662%LOST
2026-09-25Buenos Aires 3ClayE. Ribeiro2 - 01.8053%WON
2026-09-23Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Roncadelli1 - 21.9552%WON
2026-09-22Buenos Aires 3ClayS. Rodriguez Taverna0 - 2——WON
2026-08-04Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)ClayS. Pieri1 - 2——LOST
2026-07-27BonnClayJ. Rodionov0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Gustavo Heide or Pedro Boscardin Dias?

Gustavo Heide is favourite at 1.18, which is a 80% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Gustavo Heide vs Pedro Boscardin Dias?

Gustavo Heide is 1.18 and Pedro Boscardin Dias is 4.65, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.

What is the head-to-head between Gustavo Heide and Pedro Boscardin Dias?

They have met 6 times and Gustavo Heide leads 4-2.

Who will win Gustavo Heide vs Pedro Boscardin Dias?

Our model makes it Gustavo Heide to win 2-0 at 1.60 (Lean confidence).

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