THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 04 OCTOBERMATCHES 125EVENTS 38ALERTS 65
ChallengerClayCuritiba2026-10-03 15:00

Guido Ivan Justo v Tomas Barrios Vera

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
T. Barrios Vera to win 2-02.05
Price too short today - wait for 2.51 or bigger · our chance 40% · market 34/66, us 31/69

T. Barrios Vera is 6-4 over the last ten and 14-13 on clay this season. G. I. Justo is 6-4 over the last ten and 41-22 on clay this season. The head to head is G. I. Justo 0-2.

The pick is T. Barrios Vera to win 2-0. We make it a 40% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.51 or bigger. At 2.05 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

G. I. JustoT. Barrios Vera
263Ranking135
6-4Last 106-4
WWWLWLast 5WWWLW
+0.8V the odds+1.1
45-25Season27-26
41-22Clay 202614-13
3Last 7 days3
1dDays rest1d
3Wins here3
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
0-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

G. I. Justo2.7234%
T. Barrios VeraFAV1.3866%
Market says66% Vera

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

G. I. Justo1
T. Barrios Vera2
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-03CuritibaG. I. JustovT. Barrios Vera2 - 1
2026-01-30ConcepcionG. I. JustovT. Barrios Vera1 - 2
2023-04-20Florianopolis Challenger MenT. Barrios VeravG. I. Justo2 - 1

This season & this event

G. I. Justo
T. Barrios Vera
47-25
43-22
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
27-27
14-14
Reached R32
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Guido Ivan Justo
Argentina
Tomas Barrios Vera
Chile
263
28
Argentina
23–12
1
—
23–12
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
135
28
Chile
24–26
0
9–8
12–16
2–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

G. I. Justo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04CuritibaClayG. Heide0 - 24.2977%WON
2026-10-03CuritibaClayT. Barrios Vera2 - 12.7266%WON
2026-10-02CuritibaClayG. Villanueva2 - 01.5762%WON
2026-10-01CuritibaClayP. Sakamoto2 - 01.4465%WON
2026-09-28CuritibaClayF. Roncadelli2 - 01.8053%WON
2026-09-23Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Mena2 - 02.2057%LOST
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayG. Villanueva1 - 2——WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardH. Gaston2 - 0——LOST
2026-07-30LiberecClayJ. B. Torres0 - 2——LOST
2026-07-28LiberecClayS. Gueymard Wayenburg2 - 0——WON

T. Barrios Vera — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-03CuritibaClayG. I. Justo2 - 11.3866%LOST
2026-10-02CuritibaClayM. Pucinelli de Almeida1 - 21.8552%WON
2026-09-30CuritibaClayJ. B. Torres0 - 21.3369%WON
2026-09-29CuritibaClayL. J. Rodriguez0 - 21.3072%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardA. Blockx3 - 0——LOST
2026-08-27US OpenHardD. Rincon0 - 2——WON
2026-08-26US OpenHardG. A. Olivieri0 - 2——WON
2026-08-24US OpenHardJ. C. Prado Angelo1 - 2——WON
2026-08-20Cancun 2HardR. Pacheco Mendez2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-01MontrealHardA. Vukic2 - 0——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Guido Ivan Justo or Tomas Barrios Vera?

Tomas Barrios Vera is favourite at 1.38, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Guido Ivan Justo vs Tomas Barrios Vera?

Guido Ivan Justo is 2.72 and Tomas Barrios Vera is 1.38, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.

What is the head-to-head between Guido Ivan Justo and Tomas Barrios Vera?

They have met 3 times and Tomas Barrios Vera leads 2-1.

Who will win Guido Ivan Justo vs Tomas Barrios Vera?

Our model makes it Tomas Barrios Vera to win 2-0 at 2.05 (Lean confidence).

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