Gustavo Heide v Hernan Casanova
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONG. Heide is 5-5 over the last ten and 26-12 on clay this season. H. Casanova is 4-6 over the last ten and 17-14 on clay this season. The head to head is G. Heide 1-1.
The pick is G. Heide to win 2-0. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.76 or bigger. At 1.53 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| G. Heide | H. Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| 123 | Ranking | 420 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| WWWLW | Last 5 | LLLLW |
| -0.9 | V the odds | -2.1 |
| 33-20 | Season | 19-15 |
| 26-12 | Clay 2026 | 17-14 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 10d | Days rest | 7d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Defending title | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 | M25 Lajeado | H. CasanovavG. Heide | 0 - 2 |
| 2021-11-23 | Brasilia | G. HeidevH. Casanova | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
G. Heide — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | H. Casanova | 2 - 0 | 1.14 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | S. Wawrinka | 2 - 1 | 2.45 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | Tulln | Clay | D. Dedura | 0 - 2 | 1.65 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Tulln | Clay | S. Cuenin | 0 - 2 | 1.47 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-05 | Porto 2 | Clay | F. Mena | 1 - 2 | 1.30 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | Porto 2 | Clay | T. Pereira | 2 - 0 | 1.22 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | Porto 2 | Clay | G. Marques | 2 - 0 | 1.08 | 88% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | J. J. Schwaerzler | 2 - 1 | 2.00 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-17 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | H. Mayot | 2 - 0 | 1.72 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-08-11 | Cincinnati | Hard | L. van Assche | 2 - 0 | 3.85 | 75% | LOST |
H. Casanova — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | G. Heide | 2 - 0 | 4.75 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | M. A. Dellien Velasco | 2 - 0 | 1.36 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-08-11 | M25 Muttenz | Clay | F. Thomas | 1 - 0 RET | 1.13 | 85% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) | Clay | Y. T. Alexandrescou | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-24 | M25 Denia | Clay | C. Lopez Montagud | 0 - 1 RET | 1.37 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-07-23 | M25 Denia | Clay | L. Hede | 2 - 0 | 1.09 | 88% | WON |
| 2026-07-22 | M25 Denia | Clay | J. Garcia Mestre | 2 - 0 | 1.05 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-07-10 | Bogota | Hard | N. Mejia | 2 - 0 | 2.52 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-07-09 | Bogota | Hard | L. E. Ambrogi | 2 - 0 | 1.99 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-07-07 | Bogota | Hard | I. Monzon | 2 - 0 | 1.13 | 84% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Gustavo Heide or Hernan Casanova?
Gustavo Heide is favourite at 1.14, which is a 81% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Gustavo Heide vs Hernan Casanova?
Gustavo Heide is 1.14 and Hernan Casanova is 4.75, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.
What is the head-to-head between Gustavo Heide and Hernan Casanova?
They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.
Who will win Gustavo Heide vs Hernan Casanova?
Our model makes it Gustavo Heide to win 2-0 at 1.53 (Lean confidence).