THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 01 OCTOBERMATCHES 213EVENTS 31LIVE 4ALERTS 103
ChallengerBari (Italy) - Qualification2026-09-30 10:00

Gianluca Cadenasso v Lorenzo Angelini

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
G. Cadenasso to win 2-01.56
Price too short today - wait for 1.83 or bigger · our chance 55% · market 81/19, us 83/17

G. Cadenasso is 3-7 over the last ten. L. Angelini is 4-6 over the last ten. G. Cadenasso took a medical timeout on 2026-09-22. L. Angelini took a medical timeout on 2026-09-28. The head to head is G. Cadenasso 2-0.

The pick is G. Cadenasso to win 2-0. We make it a 55% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.83 or bigger. At 1.56 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

G. CadenassoL. Angelini
194Ranking-
3-7Last 104-6
WLLLLLast 5WLWLL
-1.6V the odds-2.0
16-16Season30-21
-Surface-
1Last 7 days2
1dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
MTOFitnessMTO
Head to head
2-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

G. CadenassoFAV1.1981%
L. Angelini4.9719%
Market says81% Cadenasso

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

G. Cadenasso3
L. Angelini0
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-30Bari (Italy) - QualificationG. CadenassovL. Angelini2 - 1
2025-10-01M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9G. CadenassovL. Angelini2 - 0
2025-07-31M25 PitestiG. CadenassovL. Angelini2 - 0

This season & this event

G. Cadenasso
L. Angelini
17-16
-
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on surface
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
30-22
-
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Gianluca Cadenasso
Italy
Lorenzo Angelini
Italy
194
22
Italy
15–14
1
—
15–13
0–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
946
20
Italy
17–22
0
7–5
10–17
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

G. Cadenasso — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30Bari (Italy) - Qualification—L. Angelini2 - 11.1981%WON
2026-09-29Bari (Italy) - Qualification—B. Sanchez Martinez2 - 01.6059%WON
2026-09-21Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayM. Donald2 - 11.4463%LOST
2026-09-14BiellaClayF. Forti0 - 22.1756%LOST
2026-06-22WimbledonGrassF. Cina0 - 23.5273%LOST
2026-06-01PerugiaClayD. Merida Aguilar0 - 1 RET2.2156%LOST
2026-05-20French OpenClayL. Riedi1 - 22.4360%LOST
2026-05-19French OpenClayL. Broady0 - 21.2776%WON
2026-05-07RomeClayT. A. Tirante2 - 12.6263%LOST
2026-05-02CagliariClayM. Arnaldi2 - 12.5562%LOST

L. Angelini — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30Bari (Italy) - Qualification—G. Cadenasso2 - 14.9781%LOST
2026-09-28Bari (Italy) - Qualification—G. Johns2 - 12.3259%WON
2026-09-24M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8ClayM. Sciahbasi0 - 21.4765%LOST
2026-09-22M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8ClayL. Comino2 - 01.4165%WON
2026-09-06GenovaClayL. Rottoli2 - 01.8552%LOST
2026-08-30ComoClayL. Lokoli0 - 23.7475%LOST
2026-08-28M25 OldenzaalClayD. Verbeek1 - 21.2477%LOST
2026-08-27M25 OldenzaalClayS. Van Weldam2 - 11.1285%WON
2026-08-26M25 OldenzaalClayS. Put2 - 0——WON
2026-08-04Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)ClayP. Nesterov0 - 22.9868%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Gianluca Cadenasso or Lorenzo Angelini?

Gianluca Cadenasso is favourite at 1.19, which is a 81% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Gianluca Cadenasso vs Lorenzo Angelini?

Gianluca Cadenasso is 1.19 and Lorenzo Angelini is 4.97, the prices we recorded for the Bari (Italy) match.

What is the head-to-head between Gianluca Cadenasso and Lorenzo Angelini?

They have met 3 times and Gianluca Cadenasso leads 3-0.

Who will win Gianluca Cadenasso vs Lorenzo Angelini?

Our model makes it Gianluca Cadenasso to win 2-0 at 1.56 (Lean confidence).

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