Dominic Stricker v Otto Virtanen
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTO. Virtanen is 5-5 over the last ten and 12-9 on hard this season. D. Stricker is 6-4 over the last ten and 19-4 on hard this season. D. Stricker took a medical timeout on 2026-10-07. The head to head is D. Stricker 0-2.
The pick is O. Virtanen to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.76 or bigger. At 1.72 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| D. Stricker | O. Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| 263 | Ranking | 106 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WLWWL | Last 5 | WLLWL |
| -0.6 | V the odds | -1.4 |
| 40-16 | Season | 33-23 |
| 19-4 | Hard 2026 | 12-9 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 3d | Days rest | 3d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| MTO | Fitness | Defending title |
| Head to head 0-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Roanne | D. StrickervO. Virtanen | 2 - 1 |
| 2023-03-11 | Lugano Challenger Men | O. VirtanenvD. Stricker | 2 - 1 |
| 2022-11-04 | Bergamo | D. StrickervO. Virtanen | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
D. Stricker — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | O. Virtanen | 2 - 1 | 2.19 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | P. Henning | 2 - 0 | 1.38 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-10-06 | Villena | Clay | L. Djere | 0 - 2 | 1.65 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Villena | Clay | M. Topo | 2 - 0 | 1.50 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Villena | Clay | E. Carrascosa Diaz | 2 - 0 | 1.02 | 95% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | H. Bernet | 2 - 0 | 1.58 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | L. Broady | 1 - 2 | 1.42 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | J. Fonseca | 2 - 1 | 3.90 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Augsburg | Clay | M. Krumich | 0 - 2 | 1.52 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-08-22 | Sion (Switzerland) | Clay | B. Hassan | 1 - 2 | 1.24 | 78% | WON |
O. Virtanen — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | D. Stricker | 2 - 1 | 1.73 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | R. Bertola | 0 - 2 | 1.36 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | T. Pereira | 1 - 2 | 1.32 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | V. Vacherot | 1 - 2 | 2.37 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | L. Catarina | 2 - 0 | 1.01 | 94% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | A. Rublev | 2 - 3 | 5.82 | 83% | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | J. Pinnington Jones | 2 - 1 | 1.50 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | U. Blanchet | 2 - 0 | 1.43 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Cancun 2 | Hard | M. Echargui | 0 - 2 | 1.19 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati | Hard | C. Wong | 2 - 0 | 1.81 | 53% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Dominic Stricker or Otto Virtanen?
Otto Virtanen is favourite at 1.73, which is a 56% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Dominic Stricker vs Otto Virtanen?
Dominic Stricker is 2.19 and Otto Virtanen is 1.73, the prices we recorded for the Roanne match.
What is the head-to-head between Dominic Stricker and Otto Virtanen?
They have met 3 times and Otto Virtanen leads 2-1.
Who will win Dominic Stricker vs Otto Virtanen?
Our model makes it Otto Virtanen to win at 1.72 (Lean confidence).