WTAHardTokyo · 1/16-finals2026-10-26 04:00

Daria Kasatkina v Talia Gibson

The market

D. KasatkinaFAV1.7355%

T. Gibson2.1045%

Market says55% Kasatkina

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

D. KasatkinaWWLLW

T. GibsonLWWLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

D. Kasatkina

T. Gibson

24-22

11-14

Did not play

Lost QF to S. Kenin

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

35-28

30-19

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Daria Kasatkina

Australia

Talia Gibson

Australia

20–18

7–9

11–5

2–4

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

Australia

33–25

28–13

3–6

2–5

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Kasatkina — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-25	Tokyo	Hard	K. Birrell	2.04	53%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 KasatkinaBirrellPoints won54%46%Serve points won62%56%Return points won44%38%Games held8 of 105 of 9Break points saved2 of 43 of 7Aces12Double faults72
2026-10-24	Tokyo	Hard	Y. Ma	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-2 KasatkinaMaPoints won63%37%Serve points won73%46%Return points won54%27%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved4 of 53 of 8Aces62Double faults42
2026-10-19	Ningbo	Hard	A. Sasnovich	2.19	56%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-6 KasatkinaSasnovichPoints won38%62%Serve points won45%69%Return points won31%55%Games held4 of 97 of 9Break points saved2 of 73 of 5Aces03Double faults44
2026-10-13	Wuhan	Hard	J. Ostapenko	2.16	55%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 1-6 KasatkinaOstapenkoPoints won33%67%Serve points won22%60%Return points won40%78%Games held0 of 75 of 7Break points saved2 of 93 of 5Aces27Double faults43
2026-10-11	Wuhan	Hard	S. Sorribes Tormo	1.57	61%	WON
Games in each set2-6 6-2 6-1 KasatkinaTormoPoints won55%45%Serve points won51%42%Return points won58%49%Games held5 of 113 of 12Break points saved5 of 116 of 15Aces10Double faults67
2026-10-10	Wuhan	Hard	V. Golubic	1.93	50%	WON
Games in each set4-6 7-6 6-4 KasatkinaGolubicPoints won51%49%Serve points won46%44%Return points won56%54%Games held6 of 166 of 16Break points saved13 of 235 of 15Aces02Double faults105
2026-09-30	Beijing	Hard	P. Badosa	2.78	65%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 6-7 4-6 KasatkinaBadosaPoints won50%50%Serve points won50%50%Return points won50%50%Games held8 of 168 of 16Break points saved3 of 1111 of 19Aces32Double faults69
2026-09-21	Singapore	Hard (Indoor)	A. Sasnovich	1.65	59%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 0-6 KasatkinaSasnovichPoints won40%60%Serve points won45%66%Return points won34%55%Games held3 of 97 of 9Break points saved4 of 103 of 5Aces14Double faults70
2026-09-01	US Open	Hard	P. Badosa	2.05	53%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 4-6 KasatkinaBadosaPoints won44%56%Serve points won53%63%Return points won37%47%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved7 of 107 of 7Aces13Double faults55
2026-08-13	Cincinnati	Hard	Z. Sonmez	1.72	57%	LOST
Games in each set6-2 6-7 3-6 KasatkinaSonmezPoints won50%50%Serve points won52%52%Return points won48%48%Games held9 of 158 of 14Break points saved1 of 76 of 12Aces40Double faults113

T. Gibson — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-23	Osaka	Hard	A. Krueger	2.35	59%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 3-6 GibsonKruegerPoints won38%62%Serve points won45%74%Return points won26%55%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved2 of 70 of 1Aces26Double faults40
2026-10-21	Osaka	Hard	S. Kraus	1.66	58%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-1 GibsonKrausPoints won60%40%Serve points won73%50%Return points won50%27%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved3 of 310 of 14Aces72Double faults14
2026-10-19	Osaka	Hard	H. Dart	1.79	54%	WON
Games in each set7-5 7-6 GibsonDartPoints won52%48%Serve points won61%58%Return points won42%39%Games held8 of 127 of 12Break points saved1 of 54 of 9Aces72Double faults21
2026-10-10	Wuhan	Hard	S. Sorribes Tormo	1.43	67%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 0-6 GibsonTormoPoints won43%57%Serve points won42%56%Return points won44%58%Games held2 of 96 of 9Break points saved5 of 120 of 3Aces30Double faults63
2026-09-30	Beijing	Hard	A. Sasnovich	1.78	53%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 4-6 GibsonSasnovichPoints won40%60%Serve points won48%70%Return points won30%52%Games held4 of 97 of 8Break points saved9 of 144 of 5Aces01Double faults21
2026-09-27	Singapore	Hard (Indoor)	L. Fernandez	2.62	64%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 0-6 GibsonFernandezPoints won43%57%Serve points won46%62%Return points won38%54%Games held3 of 97 of 9Break points saved6 of 123 of 5Aces25Double faults54
2026-09-25	Singapore	Hard (Indoor)	M. Sakkari	2.94	67%	WON
Games in each set6-1 4-6 6-2 GibsonSakkariPoints won57%43%Serve points won67%51%Return points won49%33%Games held10 of 127 of 13Break points saved1 of 38 of 14Aces43Double faults45
2026-09-24	Singapore	Hard (Indoor)	V. Morvayova	1.09	88%	WON
Games in each set7-6 7-6 GibsonMorvayovaPoints won54%46%Serve points won68%60%Return points won40%32%Games held11 of 1211 of 12Break points saved6 of 75 of 6Aces85Double faults62
2026-09-21	Singapore	Hard (Indoor)	F. Ferro	1.61	60%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 GibsonFerroPoints won56%44%Serve points won48%37%Return points won63%52%Games held5 of 92 of 9Break points saved3 of 74 of 11Aces31Double faults63
2026-08-30	US Open	Hard	D. Vekic	1.84	53%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-4 3-6 GibsonVekicPoints won48%52%Serve points won53%57%Return points won43%47%Games held8 of 1410 of 13Break points saved11 of 179 of 12Aces54Double faults39

Common questions

Who is favourite, Daria Kasatkina or Talia Gibson?

Daria Kasatkina is favourite at 1.73, which is a 55% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson?

Daria Kasatkina is 1.73 and Talia Gibson is 2.10, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.

Also at this event

Wang v Parks Sasnovich v Bartunkova