ATPHard (Indoor)Brussels · Quarter-finals2026-10-23 10:00

Clement Chidekh v Francisco Cerundolo

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

C. Chidekh to win2.37

Worth backing at 2.32 or bigger · our chance 43% · market 40/60, us 43/57

C. Chidekh is 9-1 over the last ten and 46-16 on hard this season. F. Cerundolo is 6-4 over the last ten and 27-14 on hard this season. C. Chidekh has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is C. Chidekh to win. We make it a 43% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.32 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

C. Chidekh		F. Cerundolo
146	Ranking	20
9-1	Last 10	6-4
WWWWL	Last 5	WLWLW
+2.6	V the odds	+0.7
53-24	Season	38-22
46-16	Hard 2026	27-14
4	Last 7 days	1
2d	Days rest	2d
4	Wins here	1
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

C. Chidekh2.3740%

F. CerundoloFAV1.5760%

Market says60% Cerundolo

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

C. ChidekhWWWWL

F. CerundoloWLWLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

C. Chidekh

F. Cerundolo

53-24

46-16

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

38-22

27-14

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Clement Chidekh

France

Francisco Cerundolo

Argentina

146

France

49–23

42–15

1–3

6–5

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

Argentina

35–19

13–10

15–8

5–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

C. Chidekh — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-21	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	J. Fearnley		1.95	50%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 ChidekhFearnleyPoints won54%46%Serve points won68%58%Return points won42%32%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved0 of 17 of 10Aces58Double faults33
2026-10-19	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	B. Van De Zandschulp		2.20	56%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-4 ChidekhZandschulpPoints won59%41%Serve points won65%44%Return points won56%35%Games held6 of 83 of 9Break points saved1 of 39 of 15Aces35Double faults13
2026-10-18	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	G. Onclin		1.33	73%	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-6 ChidekhOnclinPoints won58%42%Serve points won76%57%Return points won43%24%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved3 of 41 of 4Aces83Double faults04
2026-10-17	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	G. A. Bailly		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-3 ChidekhBaillyPoints won64%36%Serve points won80%50%Return points won50%20%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved0 of 01 of 5Aces10Double faults12
2026-10-12	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	J. Kym		1.72	56%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-7 ChidekhKymPoints won49%51%Serve points won67%68%Return points won32%33%Games held10 of 1210 of 12Break points saved4 of 66 of 8Aces315Double faults41
2026-10-04	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	S. Gueymard Wayenburg		1.74	56%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-0 ChidekhWayenburgPoints won66%34%Serve points won78%43%Return points won57%22%Games held7 of 72 of 7Break points saved0 of 04 of 9Aces16Double faults02
2026-10-03	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	H. Bernet		1.50	65%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-4 ChidekhBernetPoints won55%45%Serve points won70%57%Return points won43%30%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 07 of 10Aces59Double faults20
2026-10-02	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	H. Mayot	RET	1.84	53%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-2 2-0 ChidekhMayotPoints won54%46%Serve points won60%52%Return points won48%40%Games held7 of 96 of 10Break points saved0 of 21 of 5Aces13Double faults01
2026-10-01	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	U. Blanchet		1.36	70%	WON
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-2 ChidekhBlanchetPoints won55%45%Serve points won72%57%Return points won43%28%Games held11 of 1310 of 14Break points saved3 of 52 of 6Aces55Double faults21
2026-09-28	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	D. Goffin		1.30	73%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-0 ChidekhGoffinPoints won65%35%Serve points won73%43%Return points won57%27%Games held7 of 71 of 6Break points saved1 of 16 of 11Aces70Double faults14

F. Cerundolo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-21	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	M. Damm	1.59	61%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-6 CerundoloDammPoints won54%46%Serve points won71%64%Return points won36%29%Games held10 of 119 of 11Break points saved6 of 70 of 2Aces129Double faults44
2026-10-12	Shanghai	Hard	J. Mensik	2.39	59%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-3 2-6 CerundoloMensikPoints won46%54%Serve points won61%68%Return points won32%39%Games held10 of 1312 of 13Break points saved2 of 56 of 7Aces58Double faults20
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	R. Safiullin	1.96	50%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 CerundoloSafiullinPoints won56%44%Serve points won77%60%Return points won40%23%Games held9 of 108 of 11Break points saved1 of 23 of 6Aces89Double faults02
2026-10-04	Beijing	Hard	D. Medvedev	3.09	69%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 3-6 CerundoloMedvedevPoints won44%56%Serve points won59%76%Return points won24%41%Games held8 of 1010 of 11Break points saved7 of 91 of 2Aces010Double faults21
2026-10-03	Beijing	Hard	J. Mensik	2.74	64%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 CerundoloMensikPoints won55%45%Serve points won72%60%Return points won40%28%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 06 of 9Aces03Double faults11
2026-10-01	Beijing	Hard	B. Van De Zandschulp	1.67	57%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-4 6-3 CerundoloZandschulpPoints won51%49%Serve points won63%61%Return points won39%37%Games held13 of 1512 of 16Break points saved11 of 1310 of 14Aces211Double faults25
2026-09-25	ATP Laver Cup	Hard (Indoor)	C. Ruud	1.97	52%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 4-6 8-10 CerundoloRuudPoints won50%50%Serve points won69%68%Return points won32%31%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved3 of 41 of 1Aces56Double faults42
2026-09-20	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	M. Alkaya	1.13	86%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-0 CerundoloAlkayaPoints won71%29%Serve points won80%35%Return points won65%20%Games held6 of 61 of 7Break points saved0 of 02 of 8Aces11Double faults01
2026-09-19	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	Y. Erel	1.18	82%	WON
Games in each set6-0 6-4 CerundoloErelPoints won61%39%Serve points won76%53%Return points won47%24%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved1 of 18 of 11Aces62Double faults02
2026-09-07	US Open	Hard	A. Blockx	2.41	59%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-4 5-7 5-7 CerundoloBlockxPoints won49%51%Serve points won61%62%Return points won38%39%Games held16 of 2218 of 21Break points saved6 of 1214 of 17Aces510Double faults67

Common questions

Who is favourite, Clement Chidekh or Francisco Cerundolo?

Francisco Cerundolo is favourite at 1.57, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo?

Clement Chidekh is 2.37 and Francisco Cerundolo is 1.57, the prices we recorded for the Brussels match.

Who will win Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo?

Our model makes it Clement Chidekh to win at 2.37 (Lean confidence).