THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 13 OCTOBERMATCHES 224EVENTS 35LIVE 2ALERTS 135
ChallengerClayCatania (Italy) - Qualification2026-10-12 10:00

Carlos Sanchez Jover v Marvin Moeller

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
M. Moeller to win1.52
Worth backing at 1.45 or bigger · our chance 69% · market 37/63, us 31/69

M. Moeller is 6-4 over the last ten and 34-17 on clay this season. C. Sanchez Jover is 5-5 over the last ten and 36-23 on clay this season. C. Sanchez Jover took a medical timeout on 2026-10-09. M. Moeller took a medical timeout on 2026-10-07.

The pick is M. Moeller to win. We make it a 69% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.45 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

C. Sanchez JoverM. Moeller
316Ranking259
5-5Last 106-4
LWWLWLast 5LWWLW
-0.5V the odds+0.8
37-25Season50-24
36-23Clay 202634-17
3Last 7 days3
3dDays rest3d
0Wins here0
MTOFitnessMTO
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

C. Sanchez Jover2.5837%
M. MoellerFAV1.5363%
Market says63% Moeller

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

C. Sanchez Jover
M. Moeller
37-26
36-24
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
51-24
35-17
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Carlos Sanchez Jover
Spain
Marvin Moeller
Germany
335
26
Spain
37–25
1
0–1
37–24
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
239
27
Germany
50–24
2
16–7
34–17
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

C. Sanchez Jover — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12Catania (Italy) - QualificationClayM. Moeller0 - 22.5863%LOST
2026-10-09Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayY. Milev2 - 01.6060%LOST
2026-10-08Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayL. Giustino2 - 12.1154%WON
2026-10-05Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Forti2 - 12.0453%WON
2026-09-23Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayM. Alcala Gurri2 - 03.2571%LOST
2026-09-21Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayM. Geerts0 - 21.3667%WON
2026-09-13SzczecinClayF. Pieczonka0 - 21.4069%LOST
2026-09-08SevilleClayG. Bueno1 - 22.2357%LOST
2026-09-07SevilleClayP. Vives Marcos2 - 11.5263%WON
2026-09-06SevilleClayS. Fita Juan2 - 01.1683%WON

M. Moeller — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12Catania (Italy) - QualificationClayC. Sanchez Jover0 - 21.5363%WON
2026-10-09BragaClayM. Dodig0 - 22.8666%LOST
2026-10-08BragaClayR. Nijboer0 - 21.4069%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayT. Torres2 - 01.5363%WON
2026-09-26Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayL. Mikrut1 - 23.0869%LOST
2026-09-25Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayD. Blanch2 - 11.8053%WON
2026-09-23Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Arnaboldi2 - 01.3668%WON
2026-09-21Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayS. Travaglia1 - 22.0054%WON
2026-09-17SzczecinClayM. Cecchinato2 - 12.2860%LOST
2026-09-15SzczecinClayD. Michalski2 - 01.7453%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Carlos Sanchez Jover or Marvin Moeller?

Marvin Moeller is favourite at 1.53, which is a 63% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Marvin Moeller?

Carlos Sanchez Jover is 2.58 and Marvin Moeller is 1.53, the prices we recorded for the Catania (Italy) match.

Who will win Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Marvin Moeller?

Our model makes it Marvin Moeller to win at 1.52 (Lean confidence).

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