August Holmgren v Andrea Guerrieri
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTA. Guerrieri is 6-4 over the last ten and 30-10 on clay this season. A. Holmgren is 4-6 over the last ten and 9-7 on clay this season. The head to head is A. Holmgren 0-1.
The pick is A. Guerrieri to win. We make it a 66% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.51 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Holmgren | A. Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| 241 | Ranking | 164 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WLLLL | Last 5 | WLWLW |
| -1.7 | V the odds | +1.7 |
| 28-28 | Season | 52-21 |
| 9-7 | Clay 2026 | 30-10 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | A. GuerrierivA. Holmgren | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Holmgren — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Porto | Clay | A. Guerrieri | 2 - 0 | 2.38 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | B. Bonzi | 0 - 2 | 3.45 | 73% | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | Istanbul | Clay | V. Ursu | 0 - 2 | 1.20 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Mallorca | Hard | F. Balshaw | 0 - 2 | 1.93 | 50% | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | A. Guerrieri | 2 - 1 | 1.78 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-07-29 | Vancouver | Hard | B. Shick | 1 - 2 | 1.46 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-07-24 | Winnipeg | Hard | L. Draxl | 1 - 2 | 2.16 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-07-22 | Winnipeg | Hard | G. Johns | 2 - 1 | 1.32 | 73% | WON |
| 2026-07-19 | Granby | Hard | A. Vukic | 2 - 1 | 1.83 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-07-17 | Granby | Hard | J. Boulais | 2 - 0 | 1.47 | 66% | WON |
A. Guerrieri — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Porto | Clay | A. Holmgren | 2 - 0 | 1.62 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | Clay | A. Matusevich | 1 - 2 | 1.67 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | St. Tropez | Hard | J. De Jong | 1 - 2 | 2.92 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | F. Maestrelli | 2 - 1 | 1.68 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | A. De Minaur | 0 - 3 | 16.14 | 94% | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | A. Dougaz | 0 - 2 | 1.88 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | J. J. Schwaerzler | 2 - 1 | 2.23 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | A. Holmgren | 2 - 1 | 2.06 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | S. Kwon | 2 - 0 | 3.82 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-08-17 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | A. Donski | 1 - 2 | 1.36 | 68% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, August Holmgren or Andrea Guerrieri?
Andrea Guerrieri is favourite at 1.62, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for August Holmgren vs Andrea Guerrieri?
August Holmgren is 2.38 and Andrea Guerrieri is 1.62, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.
What is the head-to-head between August Holmgren and Andrea Guerrieri?
They have met 1 time and Andrea Guerrieri leads 1-0.
Who will win August Holmgren vs Andrea Guerrieri?
Our model makes it Andrea Guerrieri to win at 1.62 (Solid confidence).