THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 05 NOVEMBERMATCHES 235EVENTS 36ALERTS 1
ATPHard (Indoor)Paris2026-11-05 20:30

Arthur Fils v Taylor Fritz

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean
A. Fils to win1.79
Worth backing at 1.77 or bigger · our chance 57% · market 54/46, us 57/43

A. Fils is 6-4 over the last ten and 35-12 on hard this season. T. Fritz is 8-2 over the last ten and 31-16 on hard this season. A. Fils took a medical timeout on 2026-10-30. A. Fils retired from a match in the last month. T. Fritz took a medical timeout on 2026-10-24. T. Fritz has played 5 matches in seven days. The head to head is A. Fils 1-0.

The pick is A. Fils to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.77 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. FilsT. Fritz
10Ranking14
6-4Last 108-2
WLWWLLast 5WWWLW
-1.1V the odds+0.8
42-16Season42-21
35-12Hard 202631-16
3Last 7 days5
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here2
MTOretiredFitnessMTO
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. FilsFAV1.7954%
T. Fritz2.1246%
Market says54% Fils

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

A. FilsWLWWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Fils1
T. Fritz0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2024-09-26ATP TokyoT. FritzvA. Fils4-6 6-3 3-6

This season & this event

A. Fils
T. Fritz
42-16
35-12
Did not play
Lost R16 to A. Zverev
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
42-21
31-16
Lost R16 to A. Bublik
Lost R32 to J. Draper

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Arthur Fils
France
Taylor Fritz
USA
10
22
France
37–13
2
27–10
9–2
1–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
14
29
USA
34–19
1
23–14
0–2
11–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Fils — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-11-04ParisHard (Indoor)T. Machac1.6160%WON
2026-10-30BaselHard (Indoor)T. Fritz RET1.9251%LOST
2026-10-29BaselHard (Indoor)A. Michelsen1.4865%WON
2026-10-27BaselHard (Indoor)G. Mpetshi Perricard1.2975%WON
2026-10-24BrusselsHard (Indoor)J-L. Struff1.2380%LOST
2026-10-23BrusselsHard (Indoor)A. Michelsen1.5264%WON
2026-10-12ShanghaiHardB. Van De Zandschulp1.2379%LOST
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardP. Kotov1.1088%WON
2026-10-04TokyoHardV. Vacherot1.2578%LOST
2026-10-02TokyoHardF. Tiafoe1.3672%WON

T. Fritz — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-11-04ParisHard (Indoor)A. Molcan1.2479%WON
2026-11-03ParisHard (Indoor)B. Bonzi1.2578%WON
2026-10-30BaselHard (Indoor)A. Fils RET1.9751%WON
2026-10-30BaselHard (Indoor)V. Vacherot1.3374%LOST
2026-10-29BaselHard (Indoor)D. Shapovalov1.5364%WON
2026-10-27BaselHard (Indoor)R. Hijikata1.1286%WON
2026-10-25Lyon (France) - QualificationHard (Indoor)L. Musetti1.4966%LOST
2026-10-24Lyon (France) - QualificationHard (Indoor)T. Paul1.5563%WON
2026-10-23Lyon (France) - QualificationHard (Indoor)D. Altmaier1.2478%WON
2026-10-21Lyon (France) - QualificationHard (Indoor)P. Herbert1.2279%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Arthur Fils or Taylor Fritz?

Arthur Fils is favourite at 1.79, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz?

Arthur Fils is 1.79 and Taylor Fritz is 2.12, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.

What is the head-to-head between Arthur Fils and Taylor Fritz?

They have met 1 time and Arthur Fils leads 1-0.

Who will win Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz?

Our model makes it Arthur Fils to win at 1.79 (Lean confidence).

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