ITFClayW50 Heraklion 3 (Greece)2026-11-04 09:00

Ariana Geerlings Martinez v Matilde Paoletti

The market

A. Geerlings MartinezFAV1.4068%

M. Paoletti2.9732%

Market says68% Martinez

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

A. Geerlings MartinezLWWWW

M. PaolettiWWLWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

A. Geerlings Martinez

M. Paoletti

27-6

22-6

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on clay

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

16-11

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Ariana Geerlings Martinez

Spain

Matilde Paoletti

Italy

308

Spain

31–18

1–3

30–15

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2025 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

427

Italy

6–4

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Geerlings Martinez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-04	W50 Heraklion 3 (Greece)	Clay	M. Paoletti	1.40	68%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 1-6 MartinezPaolettiPoints won36%64%Serve points won26%51%Return points won49%74%Games held0 of 84 of 7Break points saved6 of 141 of 4
2026-10-18	Mallorca	Hard	L. Samson	2.37	59%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-2 MartinezSamsonPoints won59%41%Serve points won62%43%Return points won57%38%Games held6 of 82 of 8Break points saved9 of 111 of 7Aces03Double faults36
2026-10-17	Mallorca	Hard	F. Curmi	2.04	53%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-3 MartinezCurmiPoints won62%38%Serve points won65%40%Return points won60%35%Games held6 of 83 of 9Break points saved2 of 42 of 8Aces10Double faults21
2026-10-16	Mallorca	Hard	J. Grabher	2.40	60%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 MartinezGrabherPoints won57%43%Serve points won69%54%Return points won46%31%Games held8 of 116 of 10Break points saved3 of 62 of 6Aces01Double faults07
2026-10-14	Mallorca	Hard	L. Cortez Llorca	1.42	67%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 MartinezLlorcaPoints won57%43%Serve points won62%48%Return points won52%38%Games held7 of 94 of 9Break points saved4 of 66 of 11Aces10Double faults18
2026-10-12	Mallorca	Hard	T. Kovacevic	1.05	91%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-4 MartinezKovacevicPoints won58%42%Serve points won67%49%Return points won51%33%Games held7 of 94 of 9Break points saved7 of 96 of 11Aces10Double faults02
2026-10-08	W35 Seville	Clay	A. Zantedeschi	1.54	62%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-3 2-6 MartinezZantedeschiPoints won49%51%Serve points won47%49%Return points won51%53%Games held4 of 136 of 13Break points saved6 of 152 of 9
2026-10-06	W35 Seville	Clay	L. Boehner	1.01	96%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 MartinezBoehnerPoints won56%44%Serve points won54%43%Return points won57%46%Games held6 of 105 of 12Break points saved0 of 44 of 10
2026-09-15	Valencia	Clay	A. Mintegi Del Olmo	1.71	56%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 4-6 MartinezOlmoPoints won42%58%Serve points won37%54%Return points won46%63%Games held2 of 86 of 9Break points saved2 of 87 of 10Aces10Double faults77
2026-09-13	W35 Reus	Clay	L. Cortez Llorca	1.23	77%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 4-6 1-6 MartinezLlorcaPoints won47%53%Serve points won41%48%Return points won52%59%Games held5 of 167 of 14Break points saved11 of 2212 of 19

M. Paoletti — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-04	W50 Heraklion 3 (Greece)	Clay	A. Geerlings Martinez	2.97	68%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-1 PaolettiMartinezPoints won64%36%Serve points won51%26%Return points won74%49%Games held4 of 70 of 8Break points saved1 of 46 of 14
2026-11-02	W50 Heraklion 3 (Greece)	Clay	S. Roussopoulou	1.02	96%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-2 PaolettiRoussopoulouPoints won64%36%Serve points won64%36%Return points won64%36%Games held7 of 82 of 7Break points saved2 of 32 of 7
2026-10-22	W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 11	Clay	A. Mazzola	1.57	61%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-7 PaolettiMazzolaPoints won51%49%Serve points won48%46%Return points won54%52%Games held5 of 127 of 14Break points saved7 of 144 of 11
2026-10-21	W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 11	Clay	G. Parentini	1.01	97%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-4 PaolettiParentiniPoints won57%43%Serve points won61%47%Return points won53%39%Games held7 of 94 of 9Break points saved5 of 75 of 10
2026-10-16	W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 10	Clay	J. Pieri	1.70	56%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 1-6 2-6 PaolettiPieriPoints won46%54%Serve points won40%49%Return points won51%60%Games held4 of 127 of 12Break points saved1 of 94 of 9
2026-10-15	W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 10	Clay	C. Fornasieri	1.11	86%	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-5 PaolettiFornasieriPoints won54%46%Serve points won54%46%Return points won54%46%Games held7 of 104 of 10Break points saved5 of 87 of 13
2026-10-14	W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 10	Clay	G. Paterno	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-0 6-0 PaolettiPaternoPoints won82%18%Serve points won79%14%Return points won86%21%Games held6 of 60 of 6Break points saved2 of 20 of 6
2026-10-09	W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 9	Clay	A. Mazzola	1.45	66%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-1 6-7 PaolettiMazzolaPoints won53%47%Serve points won49%44%Return points won56%51%Games held7 of 147 of 16Break points saved1 of 813 of 22
2026-10-08	W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 9	Clay	E. Bennemann	1.83	50%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-2 PaolettiBennemannPoints won56%44%Serve points won56%45%Return points won55%44%Games held7 of 104 of 11Break points saved1 of 45 of 11
2026-10-07	W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 9	Clay	F. Gandolfi	1.23	77%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 PaolettiGandolfiPoints won56%44%Serve points won64%52%Return points won48%36%Games held8 of 95 of 10Break points saved0 of 15 of 9

Common questions

Who is favourite, Ariana Geerlings Martinez or Matilde Paoletti?

Ariana Geerlings Martinez is favourite at 1.40, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Ariana Geerlings Martinez vs Matilde Paoletti?

Ariana Geerlings Martinez is 1.40 and Matilde Paoletti is 2.97, the prices we recorded for the W50 Heraklion 3 (Greece) match.

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