Andrea Pellegrino v Francesco Passaro
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidF. Passaro is 10-0 over the last ten and 21-13 on clay this season. A. Pellegrino is 4-6 over the last ten and 27-18 on clay this season. F. Passaro has played 5 matches in seven days. The head to head is A. Pellegrino 3-2.
The pick is F. Passaro to win. We make it a 70% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.43 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Pellegrino | F. Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| 146 | Ranking | 229 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 10-0 |
| WLLLW | Last 5 | WWWWW |
| -1.7 | V the odds | +3.3 |
| 31-24 | Season | 28-17 |
| 27-18 | Clay 2026 | 21-13 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 5 |
| 3d | Days rest | 3d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 3-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-13 | Perugia | A. PellegrinovF. Passaro | 6-4 7-6 |
| 2024-04-14 | ATP Munich | A. PellegrinovF. Passaro | 3-6 4-6 |
| 2023-09-20 | Bad Waltersdorf Challenger Men | F. PassarovA. Pellegrino | 6-2 2-6 2-6 |
| 2023-07-25 | Verona Challenger Men | F. PassarovA. Pellegrino | 6-7 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-06-14 | Perugia Challenger Men | A. PellegrinovF. Passaro | 7-6 6-3 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Pellegrino — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Lisbon | Clay | P. Martin Tiffon | RET | 1.65 | 59% | WON |
Games in each set1-3 PellegrinoTiffonPoints won43%57%Serve points won50%71%Return points won29%50%Games held1 of 22 of 2Break points saved5 of 60 of 0Aces00Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | L. Giustino | 1.45 | 67% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-2 1-6 PellegrinoGiustinoPoints won48%52%Serve points won56%61%Return points won39%44%Games held8 of 1210 of 13Break points saved4 of 85 of 8Aces77Double faults52 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | M. Dodig | 2.29 | 58% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-3 1-6 PellegrinoDodigPoints won45%55%Serve points won61%73%Return points won27%39%Games held9 of 1212 of 13Break points saved4 of 72 of 3Aces15Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-09-09 | Genova | Clay | V. Aboian | 1.17 | 82% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 2-6 PellegrinoAboianPoints won40%60%Serve points won55%77%Return points won23%45%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved4 of 70 of 0Aces22Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | M. Petkovic | 1.28 | 75% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-4 PellegrinoPetkovicPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%65%Return points won35%32%Games held10 of 119 of 11Break points saved6 of 70 of 2Aces102Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | C. Smith | 2.90 | 67% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 3-6 4-6 PellegrinoSmithPoints won47%53%Serve points won58%66%Return points won34%42%Games held11 of 1413 of 15Break points saved12 of 157 of 9Aces510Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-08-21 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | Z. Bergs | 4.62 | 79% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 2-6 PellegrinoBergsPoints won43%57%Serve points won55%71%Return points won29%45%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved4 of 72 of 2Aces18Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-08-18 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | N. Basavareddy | 4.00 | 76% | WON | |
Games in each set3-6 6-3 6-4 PellegrinoBasavareddyPoints won52%48%Serve points won72%64%Return points won36%28%Games held13 of 1412 of 14Break points saved0 of 17 of 9Aces1110Double faults14 | |||||||
| 2026-07-30 | San Marino | Clay | T. Monteiro | 1.54 | 63% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 2-6 PellegrinoMonteiroPoints won39%61%Serve points won44%64%Return points won36%56%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved1 of 54 of 5Aces14Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-07-28 | San Marino | Clay | C. A. Caniato | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-0 PellegrinoCaniatoPoints won66%34%Serve points won79%45%Return points won55%21%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved0 of 13 of 8Aces42Double faults24 | |||||||
F. Passaro — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Lisbon | Clay | G. Elias | 1.09 | 88% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-2 PassaroEliasPoints won62%38%Serve points won73%48%Return points won52%27%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved4 of 44 of 8Aces00Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | Z. Piros | 2.05 | 53% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-3 6-2 PassaroPirosPoints won55%45%Serve points won65%56%Return points won44%35%Games held11 of 148 of 13Break points saved2 of 51 of 6Aces33Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-17 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | M. Dodig | 2.10 | 56% | WON | |
Games in each set5-7 6-1 6-4 PassaroDodigPoints won54%46%Serve points won73%61%Return points won39%27%Games held14 of 1511 of 14Break points saved5 of 66 of 9Aces72Double faults04 | |||||||
| 2026-10-16 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | M. Trungelliti | 2.09 | 53% | WON | |
Games in each set2-6 7-5 7-6 PassaroTrungellitiPoints won49%51%Serve points won61%64%Return points won36%39%Games held12 of 1613 of 16Break points saved9 of 133 of 6Aces23Double faults44 | |||||||
| 2026-10-15 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | N. Sanchez Izquierdo | 1.54 | 63% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 7-6 PassaroIzquierdoPoints won52%48%Serve points won69%65%Return points won35%31%Games held10 of 1210 of 12Break points saved5 of 73 of 5Aces42Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | T. Torres | 1.33 | 73% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-0 PassaroTorresPoints won69%31%Serve points won84%46%Return points won54%16%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved0 of 01 of 5Aces61Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-10-11 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | J. Forejtek | 1.42 | 68% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-7 7-6 PassaroForejtekPoints won53%47%Serve points won72%65%Return points won35%28%Games held16 of 1714 of 16Break points saved2 of 39 of 11Aces51Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | Y. Milev | 1.18 | 82% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-1 PassaroMilevPoints won65%35%Serve points won82%49%Return points won51%18%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved1 of 18 of 12Aces20Double faults14 | |||||||
| 2026-10-09 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | E. Dalla Valle | 1.59 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 PassaroVallePoints won59%41%Serve points won87%64%Return points won36%13%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved0 of 02 of 4Aces12Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-08 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | C. A. Caniato | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-3 6-4 PassaroCaniatoPoints won54%46%Serve points won69%60%Return points won40%31%Games held13 of 1511 of 14Break points saved3 of 510 of 13Aces54Double faults44 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Andrea Pellegrino or Francesco Passaro?
Francesco Passaro is favourite at 1.44, which is a 63% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Andrea Pellegrino vs Francesco Passaro?
Andrea Pellegrino is 2.50 and Francesco Passaro is 1.44, the prices we recorded for the Lisbon match.
What is the head-to-head between Andrea Pellegrino and Francesco Passaro?
They have met 5 times and Andrea Pellegrino leads 3-2.
Who will win Andrea Pellegrino vs Francesco Passaro?
Our model makes it Francesco Passaro to win at 1.44 (Solid confidence).