Alex Bolt v Semen Pankin
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONA. Bolt is 4-6 over the last ten and 15-15 on hard this season. S. Pankin is 4-6 over the last ten and 35-17 on hard this season.
The pick is A. Bolt to win. We make it a 73% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.37 or bigger. At 1.29 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Bolt | S. Pankin | |
|---|---|---|
| 169 | Ranking | 416 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LWWLL | Last 5 | LWLLL |
| -0.8 | V the odds | -2.2 |
| 20-21 | Season | 44-21 |
| 15-15 | Hard 2026 | 35-17 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 5d | Days rest | 5d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Defending final | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | A. BoltvS. Pankin | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Bolt — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | S. Pankin | 2 - 0 | 1.32 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | Hard | F. Marozsan | 2 - 0 | 3.56 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Santillan | 2 - 1 | 1.45 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | O. Jasika | 2 - 0 | 1.62 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | P. Llamas Ruiz | 0 - 2 | 3.32 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Lexington | Hard | A. Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | 2.11 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-07-26 | Washington | Hard | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | 3.15 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-07-25 | Washington | Hard | J. McCabe | 0 - 2 | 2.06 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-06-22 | Wimbledon | Grass | O. Tarvet | 2 - 0 | 1.84 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-06-14 | Halle | Grass | M. Bellucci | 2 - 1 | 2.32 | 58% | LOST |
S. Pankin — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | A. Bolt | 2 - 0 | 3.30 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | S. Tang | 0 - 2 | 1.08 | 89% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | Y. Zeng | 2 - 0 | 1.38 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | E. Ymer | 2 - 1 | 2.88 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Galarneau | 0 - 2 | 4.58 | 79% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | Y. Watanuki | 2 - 0 | 3.32 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-08-22 | M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 | Clay | D. Kisimov | 0 - 2 | 1.51 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-08-21 | M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 | Clay | S. H. Haita | 1 - 0 RET | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 | Clay | D. Petrovic | 2 - 1 | 1.16 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 | Clay | D. Bazdar | 2 - 0 | 1.02 | 92% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alex Bolt or Semen Pankin?
Alex Bolt is favourite at 1.32, which is a 71% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alex Bolt vs Semen Pankin?
Alex Bolt is 1.32 and Semen Pankin is 3.30, the prices we recorded for the Jingshan match.
What is the head-to-head between Alex Bolt and Semen Pankin?
They have met 1 time and Alex Bolt leads 1-0.
Who will win Alex Bolt vs Semen Pankin?
Our model makes it Alex Bolt to win at 1.29 (Lean confidence).