Akira Santillan v Luka Pavlovic
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONL. Pavlovic is 5-5 over the last ten and 13-10 on hard this season. A. Santillan is 4-6 over the last ten and 22-22 on hard this season. The head to head is A. Santillan 0-1.
The pick is L. Pavlovic to win. We make it a 63% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.60 or bigger. At 1.59 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Santillan | L. Pavlovic | |
|---|---|---|
| 319 | Ranking | - |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWLWL | Last 5 | LLWLW |
| -0.9 | V the odds | -0.6 |
| 31-27 | Season | 24-23 |
| 22-22 | Hard 2026 | 13-10 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 6d | Days rest | 7d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | A. SantillanvL. Pavlovic | 0 - 2 |
| 2026-06-30 | Brasov | L. PavlovicvA. Santillan | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Santillan — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | L. Pavlovic | 0 - 2 | 2.37 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Bolt | 2 - 1 | 2.87 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | K. Kang | 0 - 2 | 1.01 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | P. Kotov | 2 - 0 | 3.72 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | Y. Zeng | 0 - 2 | 1.33 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Shanghai | Hard | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | 3.50 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-09-03 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | I. Ivashka | 1 - 2 | 3.20 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | O. Jasika | 0 - 2 | 2.56 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | M25 Taipei 2 | Hard | S. Shin | 2 - 0 | 1.54 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-08-05 | Istanbul 2 (Turkey) | Hard | A. Ghibaudo | 0 - 2 | 2.14 | 55% | LOST |
L. Pavlovic — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | A. Santillan | 0 - 2 | 1.57 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Muller | 2 - 1 | 2.50 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-16 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | H. Heck | 2 - 1 | 1.36 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | Vu Ha Minh Duc | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | J. Fearnley | 2 - 1 | 4.22 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 1 | 1.35 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-08-17 | Cancun 2 | Hard | F. Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | 1.55 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-07-28 | San Marino | Clay | V. Gaubas | 2 - 0 | 2.75 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-07-26 | Segovia | Hard | M. Martineau | 1 - 2 | 1.47 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-07-25 | Segovia | Hard | K. Smith | 2 - 0 | 2.06 | 53% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Akira Santillan or Luka Pavlovic?
Luka Pavlovic is favourite at 1.57, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Akira Santillan vs Luka Pavlovic?
Akira Santillan is 2.37 and Luka Pavlovic is 1.57, the prices we recorded for the Jingshan match.
What is the head-to-head between Akira Santillan and Luka Pavlovic?
They have met 2 times and Luka Pavlovic leads 2-0.
Who will win Akira Santillan vs Luka Pavlovic?
Our model makes it Luka Pavlovic to win at 1.59 (Lean confidence).