ChallengerClayChallenger2026-10-14 → 2026-10-17
Lisbon (Women) 2026
32 players, 13 singles matches on our card, clay court · 13 qualifying matches. Title chances, the field, who is in form and who is carrying something - with a preview of every match.
Title chances
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price | Market | Edge | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Burel | 24.3% | 4.1 | — | — | — | — |
| F. Ferro 3 | 18.8% | 5.3 | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bouzas Maneiro 1 | 17.2% | 5.8 | — | — | — | — |
| F. Jones 2 | 11.6% | 8.6 | — | — | — | — |
| G. Maristany 5 | 11.4% | 8.7 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Galfi 7 | 9.3% | 10.8 | — | — | — | — |
| L. Romero Gormaz 6 | 6.2% | 16.1 | — | — | — | — |
| P. Hercog | 1.2% | 81.2 | — | — | — | — |
From the published draw and our ratings, worked out exactly round by round rather than simulated. The fair price is ours, before any margin. No outright prices recorded for this event yet.
Conditions
Clay court · Portugal
Very slow. Servers win 54% of points here (-6.8 points against the level average); 9% of sets reach a tiebreak; 9.4 games a set. Measured from 50 matches played here, not a surface label.
| Date | High | Low | Humidity | Wind km/h | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 | 30° | 16° | 56% | 20 | 0% |
| 10-17 | 24° | 17° | 71% | 17 | 0% |
Highs of 24-30°c.
Players to watch
In form
Wins above what the prices expected, last 35 days
Carrying something
V. Morvayova
RET x2 in 90d
P. Hercog
MTO 14d
D. Semenistaja
RET x1 in 90d
L. Gjorcheska
RET x1 in 90d
M. Matoula
MTO 14d
G. Feistel
RET x1 in 90d
Retirements, walkovers, medical timeouts and long layoffs
Matches to come
| When | Match | Price | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 11:00 | L. Romero GormazvD. Galfi | — | — |
Results so far
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 | D. GalfivF. Jones | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-16 | L. Romero GormazvF. Ferro | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-14 | M. MatoulavG. Maristany | 0 - 2 | |
| 10-14 | P. HercogvJ. Ortenzi | 2 - 1 | |
| 10-14 | J. Bouzas ManeirovI. Burillo Escorihuela | 2 - 1 | |
| 10-14 | F. JorgevF. Jones | 0 - 2 | |
| 10-14 | S. JanicijevicvF. Ferro | 0 - 2 | |
| 10-14 | D. GalfivM. Jorge | 2 - 1 | |
| 10-14 | L. Romero GormazvR. Serban | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-14 | M. LolliavC. Burel | 0 - 2 |