THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 30 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 351EVENTS 32LIVE 2ALERTS 173
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Mouilleron-Le-Captif2026-09-29 10:00

Yanis Ghazouani Durand v Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
Y. Ghazouani Durand to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.78 or bigger · our chance 56% · market 21/79, us 27/73

Y. Ghazouani Durand is 7-3 over the last ten and 25-13 on hard this season. N. Budkov Kjaer is 5-5 over the last ten and 17-13 on hard this season. The head to head is Y. Ghazouani Durand 0-1.

The pick is Y. Ghazouani Durand to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 56% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.78 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

Y. Ghazouani DurandN. Budkov Kjaer
547Ranking146
7-3Last 105-5
WWLLWLast 5LWLWW
+1.9V the odds-0.5
36-21Season27-29
25-13Hard 202617-13
2Last 7 days0
1dDays rest8d
2Wins here0
ClearFitnessDefending title
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

Y. Ghazouani Durand4.5521%
N. Budkov KjaerFAV1.1979%
Market says79% Kjaer

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

Y. Ghazouani Durand0
N. Budkov Kjaer2
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-29Mouilleron-Le-CaptifY. Ghazouani DurandvN. Budkov Kjaer0 - 2
2026-09-10CassisN. Budkov KjaervY. Ghazouani Durand2 - 0

This season & this event

Y. Ghazouani Durand
N. Budkov Kjaer
Defending title
36-22
25-14
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
28-29
18-13
Champion
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Yanis Ghazouani Durand
France
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Norway
547
26
France
32–19
0
21–11
11–8
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
146
20
Norway
28–28
0
16–13
9–9
2–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

Y. Ghazouani Durand — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)N. Budkov Kjaer0 - 24.5579%LOST
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)L. Rossi0 - 21.5759%WON
2026-09-27Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)E. Hudd2 - 11.5062%WON
2026-09-20St. TropezHardK. Poling0 - 21.5761%LOST
2026-09-17RennesHard (Indoor)F. Maestrelli2 - 13.0569%LOST
2026-09-15RennesHard (Indoor)L. Raquillet0 - 21.5463%WON
2026-09-14RennesHard (Indoor)N. Slavic1 - 21.5061%WON
2026-09-13RennesHard (Indoor)G. Brouwer1 - 22.1054%WON
2026-09-10CassisHardN. Budkov Kjaer2 - 04.6379%LOST
2026-09-08CassisHardM. Janvier1 - 21.8253%WON

N. Budkov Kjaer — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)Y. Ghazouani Durand0 - 21.1979%WON
2026-09-21St. TropezHardB. Harris1 - 21.5662%LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryJ. Cui2 - 11.0492%WON
2026-09-12CassisHardT. Droguet2 - 12.7264%LOST
2026-09-10CassisHardY. Ghazouani Durand2 - 01.2179%WON
2026-09-08CassisHardF. Balshaw2 - 01.9350%WON
2026-09-02MallorcaHardM. Lajal2 - 02.1856%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardC. O'Connell0 - 22.5062%LOST
2026-08-25US OpenHardM. Kasnikowski1 - 21.5562%WON
2026-08-20Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardJ. De Jong2 - 01.9450%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Yanis Ghazouani Durand or Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is favourite at 1.19, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Yanis Ghazouani Durand vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?

Yanis Ghazouani Durand is 4.55 and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 1.19, the prices we recorded for the Mouilleron-Le-Captif match.

What is the head-to-head between Yanis Ghazouani Durand and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?

They have met 2 times and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 2-0.

Who will win Yanis Ghazouani Durand vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?

Our model makes it Yanis Ghazouani Durand to win a set (Solid confidence).

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