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ChallengerClayBraga2026-10-05 11:00

Vilius Gaubas v Joao Domingues

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
V. Gaubas to win1.17
Price too short today - wait for 1.23 or bigger · our chance 82% · market 82/18, us 82/18

V. Gaubas is 5-5 over the last ten and 17-21 on clay this season. J. Domingues is 3-7 over the last ten and 5-6 on clay this season.

The pick is V. Gaubas to win. We make it a 82% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.23 or bigger. At 1.17 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

V. GaubasJ. Domingues
121Ranking781
5-5Last 103-7
LLLWWLast 5LWLWL
-V the odds-0.1
29-27Season27-21
17-21Clay 20265-6
0Last 7 days1
16dDays rest7d
0Wins here0
Defending finalFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

V. GaubasFAV1.1782%
J. Domingues5.2818%
Market says82% Gaubas

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

V. Gaubas1
J. Domingues0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-05BragaV. GaubasvJ. Domingues2 - 0

This season & this event

V. Gaubas
Defending final
J. Domingues
30-27
18-21
Lost Final to L. Mikrut
Lost R16 to A. Pellegrino
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
27-22
5-7
Did not play
Lost R16 to D. E. Galan

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Vilius Gaubas
Lithuania
Joao Domingues
Portugal
117
21
Lithuania
29–27
0
7–4
17–21
3–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
781
33
Portugal
15–11
0
11–9
4–2
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

V. Gaubas — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05BragaClayJ. Domingues2 - 01.1782%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryH. Medjedovic2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-08SevilleClayP. Lagutin1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-27US OpenHardH. Wendelken1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardM. Cecchinato2 - 0——WON
2026-08-24US OpenHardK. Feldbausch2 - 0——WON
2026-08-04HagenClayM. Houkes2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-01San MarinoClayF. Diaz Acosta2 - 0——LOST
2026-07-31San MarinoClayT. Monteiro2 - 0——WON
2026-07-30San MarinoClayG. A. Olivieri2 - 0——WON

J. Domingues — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05BragaClayV. Gaubas2 - 05.2882%LOST
2026-09-28PortoClayM. Geerts2 - 12.5062%LOST
2026-09-27PortoClayV. Ursu2 - 02.2359%WON
2026-09-24M25 SetubalHardR. Bertrand2 - 02.9768%LOST
2026-09-22M25 SetubalHardR. Izquierdo Luque2 - 1——WON
2026-09-16M25 Sintra 2HardJ. Penzlin2 - 1——LOST
2026-07-18EstorilClayT. Skatov1 - 2——LOST
2026-07-01M25 Figueira da FozHardF. Andaloro0 - 2——LOST
2026-06-25M25 PortoHardT. Torres2 - 0——LOST
2026-06-24M25 PortoHardM. McKennon2 - 1——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Vilius Gaubas or Joao Domingues?

Vilius Gaubas is favourite at 1.17, which is a 82% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Vilius Gaubas vs Joao Domingues?

Vilius Gaubas is 1.17 and Joao Domingues is 5.28, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.

What is the head-to-head between Vilius Gaubas and Joao Domingues?

They have met 1 time and Vilius Gaubas leads 1-0.

Who will win Vilius Gaubas vs Joao Domingues?

Our model makes it Vilius Gaubas to win at 1.17 (Lean confidence).

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