Valentin Vacherot v Arthur Fils
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTA. Fils is 9-1 over the last ten and 30-8 on hard this season. V. Vacherot is 6-4 over the last ten and 12-12 on hard this season. A. Fils has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is V. Vacherot 0-1.
The pick is A. Fils to win. We make it a 77% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.31 or bigger. At 1.25 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| V. Vacherot | A. Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Ranking | - |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 9-1 |
| WWLWW | Last 5 | WWWWL |
| +0.6 | V the odds | +0.7 |
| 22-15 | Season | 37-12 |
| 12-12 | Hard 2026 | 30-8 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 4 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 2 | Wins here | 4 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Tokyo | V. VacherotvA. Fils | 2 - 1 |
| 2026-03-24 | Miami | V. VacherotvA. Fils | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
V. Vacherot — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Tokyo | Hard | J. Lehecka | 2 - 0 | 2.59 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-10-04 | Tokyo | Hard | A. Fils | 2 - 1 | 4.20 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Tokyo | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 | 2.37 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | A. Blockx | 2 - 0 | 2.17 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Chengdu | Hard | L. Harris | 0 - 2 | 1.88 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | O. Virtanen | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | E. Vasa | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 0 - 3 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | K. Majchrzak | 3 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | A. Kovacevic | 3 - 0 | — | — | WON |
A. Fils — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Tokyo | Hard | V. Vacherot | 2 - 1 | 1.25 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-10-02 | Tokyo | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 0 | 1.36 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | L. van Assche | 2 - 0 | 1.16 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Tokyo | Hard | K. Majchrzak | 2 - 1 | 1.19 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Tokyo | Hard | M. Damm | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 3 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-23 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-22 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Cobolli | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-21 | Cincinnati | Hard | T. A. Tirante | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. De Minaur | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Valentin Vacherot or Arthur Fils?
Arthur Fils is favourite at 1.25, which is a 77% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils?
Valentin Vacherot is 4.20 and Arthur Fils is 1.25, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.
What is the head-to-head between Valentin Vacherot and Arthur Fils?
They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.
Who will win Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils?
Our model makes it Arthur Fils to win at 1.25 (Lean confidence).