THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 24 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 215EVENTS 37LIVE 9ALERTS 46
ChallengerHardSan Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification2026-09-23 19:00

Tristan Boyer v Sebastian Gorzny

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
S. Gorzny to win2.28
Worth backing at 2.08 or bigger · our chance 48% · market 58/42, us 52/48

S. Gorzny is 6-4 over the last ten and 16-12 on hard this season. T. Boyer is 4-6 over the last ten and 11-13 on hard this season. S. Gorzny has played 6 matches in seven days.

The pick is S. Gorzny to win. We make it a 48% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.08 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. BoyerS. Gorzny
257Ranking731
4-6Last 106-4
WLWLLLast 5WWWLW
-1.5V the odds+1.8
24-19Season17-12
11-13Hard 202616-12
2Last 7 days6
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here2
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. BoyerFAV1.6558%
S. Gorzny2.2842%
Market says58% Boyer

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

T. Boyer
S. Gorzny
25-19
12-13
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
17-13
16-13
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Tristan Boyer
USA
Sebastian Gorzny
USA
257
25
USA
5–7
0
4–5
1–2
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
731
22
USA
12–11
0
12–11
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. Boyer — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-23San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardS. Gorzny2 - 01.6558%WON
2026-09-22San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardS. Johnson2 - 01.9552%WON
2026-09-16TiburonHardA. Shelbayh0 - 21.6059%LOST
2026-09-14TiburonHardE. Winter2 - 01.5264%WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardA. Ilagan2 - 11.9350%LOST
2026-08-17Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardJ. Watt0 - 21.2276%LOST
2026-08-10Brownsburg (Usa) - QualificationHardA. Mayo0 - 21.7054%LOST
2026-08-09Brownsburg (Usa) - QualificationHardM. Forbes2 - 11.2476%WON
2026-08-04LexingtonHardE. Butvilas2 - 11.6658%LOST
2026-07-30Los CabosHardF. Cerundolo0 - 1 RET3.2971%LOST

S. Gorzny — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-23San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardT. Boyer2 - 02.2858%LOST
2026-09-22San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardM. Krueger1 - 21.4463%WON
2026-09-21 San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification, Hard—A. Johnson0 - 21.4565%WON
2026-09-21San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardA. Mayo0 - 21.8352%WON
2026-09-18TiburonHardJ.J. Wolf2 - 12.8767%LOST
2026-09-17TiburonHardN. Basavareddy2 - 04.4079%WON
2026-09-16TiburonHardL. Staeheli0 - 21.3870%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardD. Medvedev3 - 013.3093%LOST
2026-08-31US OpenHardR. Collignon3 - 26.4585%WON
2026-08-24Winston-SalemHardC. Hewitt1 - 21.9250%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Tristan Boyer or Sebastian Gorzny?

Tristan Boyer is favourite at 1.65, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny?

Tristan Boyer is 1.65 and Sebastian Gorzny is 2.28, the prices we recorded for the San Diego 2 (Usa) match.

Who will win Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny?

Our model makes it Sebastian Gorzny to win at 2.28 (Solid confidence).

Also at this event