THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 02 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 32LIVE 3ALERTS 85
ChallengerClayPorto2026-10-01 12:00

Tiago Pereira v Hugo Grenier

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
T. Pereira to win2.22
Worth backing at 2.13 or bigger · our chance 47% · market 43/57, us 47/53

T. Pereira is 5-5 over the last ten and 19-15 on clay this season. H. Grenier is 5-5 over the last ten and 3-4 on clay this season.

The pick is T. Pereira to win. We make it a 47% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.13 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. PereiraH. Grenier
339Ranking284
5-5Last 105-5
WLLWWLast 5WLWWL
+0.3V the odds-0.4
39-32Season13-22
19-15Clay 20263-4
1Last 7 days1
3dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. Pereira2.2243%
H. GrenierFAV1.7057%
Market says57% Grenier

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

T. Pereira0
H. Grenier1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-01PortoT. PereiravH. Grenier0 - 2

This season & this event

T. Pereira
H. Grenier
39-33
19-16
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
14-23
4-5
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Tiago Pereira
Portugal
Hugo Grenier
France
339
22
Portugal
38–32
2
20–16
18–15
0–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
284
30
France
12–22
0
12–16
0–4
0–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. Pereira — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-01PortoClayH. Grenier0 - 22.2257%LOST
2026-09-28PortoClayO. Virtanen1 - 2——WON
2026-09-20Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayPa. Tsitsipas1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-15SzczecinClayF. Pieczonka1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-14SzczecinClayR. Molleker2 - 1——WON
2026-09-13SzczecinClayI. Lopez Morillo2 - 1——WON
2026-09-10SevilleClayG. A. Olivieri2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-08SevilleClayM. Trungelliti2 - 1——WON
2026-09-07SevilleClayP. Lagutin1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-06SevilleClayT. Cigarran2 - 1——WON

H. Grenier — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02PortoClayI. Montes-De La Torre0 - 2——LOST
2026-10-01PortoClayT. Pereira0 - 21.7057%WON
2026-09-29PortoClayC. E. Overbeck2 - 0——WON
2026-09-22St. TropezHardT. Faurel0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-21St. TropezHardV. Ursu2 - 0——WON
2026-09-20St. TropezHardC. Langmo2 - 0——WON
2026-09-07CassisHardB. Harris0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-01MallorcaHardB. Harris2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardS. Baez0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardR. Safiullin1 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Tiago Pereira or Hugo Grenier?

Hugo Grenier is favourite at 1.70, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Tiago Pereira vs Hugo Grenier?

Tiago Pereira is 2.22 and Hugo Grenier is 1.70, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.

What is the head-to-head between Tiago Pereira and Hugo Grenier?

They have met 1 time and Hugo Grenier leads 1-0.

Who will win Tiago Pereira vs Hugo Grenier?

Our model makes it Tiago Pereira to win at 2.22 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event