Thiago Monteiro v Elmer Moller
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTT. Monteiro is 6-4 over the last ten and 32-18 on clay this season. E. Moller is 3-7 over the last ten and 10-14 on clay this season. The head to head is T. Monteiro 0-1.
The pick is T. Monteiro to win. We make it a 58% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.73 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| T. Monteiro | E. Moller | |
|---|---|---|
| 282 | Ranking | 170 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 3-7 |
| LLWWW | Last 5 | LWLLL |
| - | V the odds | -0.5 |
| 33-19 | Season | 19-24 |
| 32-18 | Clay 2026 | 10-14 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 14d | Days rest | 6d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | T. MonteirovE. Moller | 1 - 2 |
| 2025-04-15 | Oeiras 3 | E. MollervT. Monteiro | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
T. Monteiro — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | E. Moller | 1 - 2 | 1.76 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | M. Petkovic | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | Szczecin | Clay | N. Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | Szczecin | Clay | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | Szczecin | Clay | D. Dedura | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | Szczecin | Clay | V. Sachko | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Szczecin | Clay | S. Travaglia | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | Tulln | Clay | J. Reis Da Silva | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Tulln | Clay | M. H. Rehberg | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-04 | Porto 2 | Clay | G. Heide | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
E. Moller — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | T. Monteiro | 1 - 2 | 2.10 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | C. Taberner | 2 - 0 | 1.92 | 50% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | I. Radulov | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | G. Dimitrov | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | M. Kasnikowski | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | C. Wong | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | A. Matusevich | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | I. Ivanov | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-11 | Hamburg | Clay | R. Molleker | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-08 | Hagen | Clay | J. Kym | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Thiago Monteiro or Elmer Moller?
Thiago Monteiro is favourite at 1.76, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moller?
Thiago Monteiro is 1.76 and Elmer Moller is 2.10, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.
What is the head-to-head between Thiago Monteiro and Elmer Moller?
They have met 2 times and Elmer Moller leads 2-0.
Who will win Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moller?
Our model makes it Thiago Monteiro to win at 1.76 (Lean confidence).