THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 06 OCTOBERMATCHES 211EVENTS 34LIVE 5ALERTS 88
ChallengerClayBraga2026-10-05 11:00

Sumit Nagal v Luka Mikrut

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean
L. Mikrut to win 2-01.83
Price too short today - wait for 2.00 or bigger · our chance 50% · market 26/74, us 21/79

L. Mikrut is 8-2 over the last ten and 14-4 on clay this season. S. Nagal is 4-6 over the last ten and 14-15 on clay this season. The head to head is S. Nagal 0-1.

The pick is L. Mikrut to win 2-0. We make it a 50% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.00 or bigger. At 1.83 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

S. NagalL. Mikrut
275Ranking160
4-6Last 108-2
LLLLWLast 5WWWWW
-V the odds+1.1
22-27Season17-10
14-15Clay 202614-4
0Last 7 days0
16dDays rest8d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessDefending title
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

S. Nagal3.6926%
L. MikrutFAV1.2974%
Market says74% Mikrut

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

S. Nagal0
L. Mikrut1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2025-10-03BragaL. MikrutvS. Nagal2 - 1

This season & this event

S. Nagal
L. Mikrut
Defending title
22-27
14-15
Lost QF to L. Mikrut
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
17-10
14-4
Champion
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Sumit Nagal
India
Luka Mikrut
Croatia
275
29
India
1–1
0
1–1
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
166
22
Croatia
17–10
1
3–5
14–4
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

S. Nagal — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsS. Kwon2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsH. Chung2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-25US OpenHardA. Gea2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-19PragueClayJ. Kumstat2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-17PragueClayE. Ribeiro0 - 2——WON
2026-08-11HamburgClayM. Houkes2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-01LiberecClayJ. Kumstat2 - 0——LOST
2026-07-31LiberecClayM. Krumich0 - 2——WON
2026-07-29LiberecClayP. Brunclik0 - 2——WON
2026-07-27LiberecClayI. Montes-De La Torre0 - 2——WON

L. Mikrut — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-27Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayC. A. Caniato2 - 0——WON
2026-09-26Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayM. Moeller1 - 21.4169%WON
2026-09-25Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayL. Neumayer0 - 21.5961%WON
2026-09-23Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayK. Coppejans2 - 01.4666%WON
2026-09-22Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Iannaccone0 - 2——WON
2026-09-19SzczecinClayN. Sanchez Izquierdo2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-18SzczecinClayT. Gentzsch1 - 2——WON
2026-09-16SzczecinClayL. Djere0 - 1 RET——WON
2026-09-15SzczecinClayR. Strombachs1 - 2——WON
2026-08-26US OpenHardN. Basavareddy0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Sumit Nagal or Luka Mikrut?

Luka Mikrut is favourite at 1.29, which is a 74% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Sumit Nagal vs Luka Mikrut?

Sumit Nagal is 3.69 and Luka Mikrut is 1.29, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.

What is the head-to-head between Sumit Nagal and Luka Mikrut?

They have met 1 time and Luka Mikrut leads 1-0.

Who will win Sumit Nagal vs Luka Mikrut?

Our model makes it Luka Mikrut to win 2-0 at 1.83 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event