THE TENNIS TRADER
SATURDAY 26 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 98EVENTS 40LIVE 2ALERTS 61
ATPHardHangzhou2026-09-25 10:30

Rinky Hijikata v Andrey Rublev

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
R. Hijikata to win3.21
Worth backing at 2.73 or bigger · our chance 37% · market 30/70, us 37/63

R. Hijikata is 5-5 over the last ten and 24-17 on hard this season. A. Rublev is 6-4 over the last ten and 13-11 on hard this season.

The pick is R. Hijikata to win. We make it a 37% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.73 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

R. HijikataA. Rublev
96Ranking16
5-5Last 106-4
WLLWWLast 5LWLWL
+0.9V the odds-1.0
33-26Season30-19
24-17Hard 202613-11
1Last 7 days0
1dDays rest23d
1Wins here0
ClearFitness23d out
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

R. Hijikata3.8325%
A. RublevFAV1.3075%
Market says75% Rublev

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

R. Hijikata0
A. Rublev1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-25HangzhouR. HijikatavA. Rublev0 - 2

This season & this event

R. Hijikata
A. Rublev
33-27
24-18
Lost R16 to T. M. Etcheverry
Lost QF to B. Nakashima
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
31-19
14-11
Lost R16 to V. Royer
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Rinky Hijikata
Australia
Andrey Rublev
World
96
25
Australia
19–14
0
15–9
4–4
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
16
28
World
2–1
0
2–1
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

R. Hijikata — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-25HangzhouHardA. Rublev0 - 23.8375%LOST
2026-09-24HangzhouHardD. Svrcina2 - 02.2958%WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardF. Auger-Aliassime3 - 17.7388%LOST
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardB. Bonzi0 - 21.9151%LOST
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardR. Collignon1 - 22.0853%WON
2026-08-24Winston-SalemHardDar. Blanch2 - 01.4368%WON
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardJ. Mensik0 - 24.2077%LOST
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardL. Darderi0 - 22.4160%WON
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardG. Monfils2 - 12.1555%WON
2026-08-02MontrealHardJ. Munar2 - 02.2056%LOST

A. Rublev — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-25HangzhouHardR. Hijikata0 - 21.3075%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardD. Merida Aguilar3 - 11.6759%LOST
2026-08-31US OpenHardO. Virtanen2 - 31.1783%WON
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardN. Borges0 - 21.5364%LOST
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardP. Carreno-Busta2 - 01.4766%WON
2026-08-04MontrealHardJ. Shang2 - 11.3075%LOST
2026-07-24EstorilClayL. van Assche1 - 21.2479%LOST
2026-07-23EstorilClayT. Skatov2 - 01.0791%WON
2026-07-19BastadClayL. Darderi2 - 01.7456%WON
2026-07-18BastadClayA. Tabilo2 - 11.4966%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Rinky Hijikata or Andrey Rublev?

Andrey Rublev is favourite at 1.30, which is a 75% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Rinky Hijikata vs Andrey Rublev?

Rinky Hijikata is 3.83 and Andrey Rublev is 1.30, the prices we recorded for the Hangzhou match.

What is the head-to-head between Rinky Hijikata and Andrey Rublev?

They have met 1 time and Andrey Rublev leads 1-0.

Who will win Rinky Hijikata vs Andrey Rublev?

Our model makes it Rinky Hijikata to win at 3.21 (Solid confidence).

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