Raphael Perot v Daniil Ostapenkov
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTR. Perot is 7-3 over the last ten and 11-10 on hard this season. D. Ostapenkov is 5-5 over the last ten and 31-18 on hard this season.
The pick is R. Perot to win. We make it a 68% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.48 or bigger. At 1.36 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| R. Perot | D. Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| 404 | Ranking | 737 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWWWW | Last 5 | WWLWW |
| +0.2 | V the odds | +0.0 |
| 36-23 | Season | 32-19 |
| 11-10 | Hard 2026 | 31-18 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 19d | Days rest | 1d |
| 0 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Columbus | R. PerotvD. Ostapenkov | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
R. Perot — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | D. Ostapenkov | 1 - 2 | 1.37 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-10 | Cassis | Hard | R. Bertrand | 0 - 2 | 1.41 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Cassis | Hard | G. Onclin | 0 - 2 | 2.45 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-06 | M25+H Bagneres-de-Bigorre | Hard | R. Bertrand | 1 - 2 | 1.37 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-09-05 | M25+H Bagneres-de-Bigorre | Hard | A. Knaff | 0 - 2 | 1.24 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-09-03 | M25+H Bagneres-de-Bigorre | Hard | L. Branger | 1 - 2 | 1.08 | 84% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | M25+H Bagneres-de-Bigorre | Hard | J. Cesar Porras | 0 - 2 | 1.20 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Augsburg | Clay | M. Brunold | 0 - 2 | 2.64 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Sion (Switzerland) | Clay | D. Stricker | 2 - 0 | 3.11 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-08-16 | M25 Koksijde | Clay | L. G. Verwerft | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
D. Ostapenkov — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | R. Perot | 1 - 2 | 2.85 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | I. Palavestra | 0 - 2 | 1.30 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | Q. Vandecasteele | 0 - 2 | 2.62 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | T. Legout | 2 - 0 | 3.84 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification, Hard | — | Q. Vandecasteele | 2 - 1 | 3.41 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Tiburon | Hard | G. Grumet | 0 - 2 | 1.17 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Tiburon | Hard | T. Legout | 2 - 0 | 3.17 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-08-09 | Astana | Hard | E. Agafonov | 0 - 0 RET | 1.32 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-08-05 | Istanbul 2 (Turkey) | Hard | F. Bax | 1 - 2 | 2.44 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Istanbul 2 (Turkey) | Hard | C. Bittoun | 1 - 2 | 1.55 | 62% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Raphael Perot or Daniil Ostapenkov?
Raphael Perot is favourite at 1.37, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Raphael Perot vs Daniil Ostapenkov?
Raphael Perot is 1.37 and Daniil Ostapenkov is 2.85, the prices we recorded for the Columbus match.
What is the head-to-head between Raphael Perot and Daniil Ostapenkov?
They have met 1 time and Daniil Ostapenkov leads 1-0.
Who will win Raphael Perot vs Daniil Ostapenkov?
Our model makes it Raphael Perot to win at 1.36 (Lean confidence).