THE TENNIS TRADER
SATURDAY 10 OCTOBERMATCHES 118EVENTS 37LIVE 1ALERTS 55
ChallengerClayVillena2026-10-09 17:30

Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Pedro Martinez

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanVOID
P. Llamas Ruiz to win1.69
Price too short today - wait for 1.78 or bigger · our chance 56% · market 58/42, us 56/44

P. Llamas Ruiz is 6-4 over the last ten and 23-6 on clay this season. P. Martinez is 7-3 over the last ten and 20-20 on clay this season. P. Martinez took a medical timeout on 2026-10-06. The head to head is P. Llamas Ruiz 0-2.

The pick is P. Llamas Ruiz to win. We make it a 56% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.78 or bigger. At 1.69 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

P. Llamas RuizP. Martinez
143Ranking132
6-4Last 107-3
WWLWWLast 5WWLLW
+0.2V the odds+1.8
38-21Season32-28
23-6Clay 202620-20
2Last 7 days2
1dDays rest1d
2Wins here2
ClearFitnessMTO
Head to head
0-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

P. Llamas RuizFAV1.6958%
P. Martinez2.2942%
Market says58% Ruiz

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

P. Llamas Ruiz0
P. Martinez2
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2024-01-19Tenerife Challenger MenP. Llamas RuizvP. Martinez0 - 2
2023-03-29Girona Challenger MenP. Llamas RuizvP. Martinez0 - 2

This season & this event

P. Llamas Ruiz
P. Martinez
38-22
23-7
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
33-29
21-21
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Spain
Pedro Martinez
Spain
143
23
Spain
36–21
1
11–11
23–8
2–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
132
29
Spain
30–27
1
10–5
20–21
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

P. Llamas Ruiz — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-09VillenaClayP. Martinez0 - 1 RET1.6958%LOST
2026-10-08VillenaClayP. Nesterov2 - 11.3671%WON
2026-10-05VillenaClayL. Nardi2 - 01.5460%WON
2026-09-09SevilleClayR. Brancaccio2 - 11.2574%LOST
2026-09-08SevilleClayK. Coppejans1 - 21.3671%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardV. Sachko1 - 21.5064%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardL. Harris2 - 02.5863%LOST
2026-08-25US OpenHardA. Bolt0 - 21.3571%WON
2026-08-21Cancun 2HardL. Harris1 - 0 RET2.7365%LOST
2026-08-19Cancun 2HardF. Comesana2 - 01.9651%WON

P. Martinez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10VillenaClayL. Djere0 - 22.5161%LOST
2026-10-09VillenaClayP. Llamas Ruiz0 - 1 RET2.2958%WON
2026-10-08VillenaClayD. Rincon0 - 22.1555%WON
2026-10-05VillenaClayA. Holmgren1 - 22.2058%WON
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayE. Ribeiro2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-13GenovaClayT. Seyboth Wild2 - 02.5762%LOST
2026-09-12GenovaClayL. Djere1 - 22.6263%WON
2026-09-11GenovaClayV. Aboian2 - 01.2181%WON
2026-09-09GenovaClayM. Zeitune2 - 01.2179%WON
2026-09-08GenovaClayF. Forti2 - 01.4268%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Pablo Llamas Ruiz or Pedro Martinez?

Pablo Llamas Ruiz is favourite at 1.69, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Pedro Martinez?

Pablo Llamas Ruiz is 1.69 and Pedro Martinez is 2.29, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.

What is the head-to-head between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Pedro Martinez?

They have met 2 times and Pedro Martinez leads 2-0.

Who will win Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Pedro Martinez?

Our model makes it Pablo Llamas Ruiz to win at 1.69 (Lean confidence).

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