THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 30 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 351EVENTS 32LIVE 2ALERTS 173
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Columbus · 1/16-finals2026-09-29 17:30

Oliver Okonkwo v Luca Staeheli

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
L. Staeheli to win1.55
Price too short today - wait for 1.57 or bigger · our chance 64% · market 39/61, us 36/64

L. Staeheli is 7-3 over the last ten and 17-9 on hard this season. O. Okonkwo is 6-4 over the last ten and 9-7 on hard this season.

The pick is L. Staeheli to win. We make it a 64% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.57 or bigger. At 1.55 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

O. OkonkwoL. Staeheli
1049Ranking-
6-4Last 107-3
WWWWWLast 5WWLLW
+1.1V the odds+2.5
13-14Season39-20
9-7Hard 202617-9
2Last 7 days2
1dDays rest1d
2Wins here2
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

O. Okonkwo2.4239%
L. StaeheliFAV1.5561%
Market says61% Staeheli

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

O. Okonkwo0
L. Staeheli1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-29ColumbusO. OkonkwovL. Staeheli1 - 2

This season & this event

O. Okonkwo
L. Staeheli
13-15
9-8
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
40-21
18-10
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Oliver Okonkwo
United Kingdom
Luca Staeheli
Switzerland
910
26
United Kingdom
13–15
0
9–8
1–4
3–3
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
748
26
Switzerland
25–13
1
17–6
8–7
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

O. Okonkwo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29ColumbusHard (Indoor)L. Staeheli1 - 22.4261%LOST
2026-09-28ColumbusHard (Indoor)S. Mitsui2 - 03.2272%WON
2026-09-27ColumbusHard (Indoor)A. Martin0 - 24.3078%WON
2026-08-28M15 Champaign, ILHardF. Corwin2 - 02.0152%WON
2026-08-27M15 Champaign, ILHardN. Ponwith2 - 01.3869%WON
2026-08-26M15 Champaign, ILHardJ. Flores0 - 21.9451%WON
2026-08-12M25 East Lansing, MIHardM. Mesarovic2 - 01.8352%LOST
2026-07-22M25 Champaign, ILHardE. Stephenson2 - 11.2377%LOST
2026-07-15M25 Louisville, KYHardA. Moreno0 - 21.5062%LOST
2026-07-09M25 Dallas, TXHardM. Krueger2 - 04.0376%LOST

L. Staeheli — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30ColumbusHard (Indoor)A. Andrade0 - 23.5573%LOST
2026-09-29ColumbusHard (Indoor)O. Okonkwo1 - 21.5561%WON
2026-09-28ColumbusHard (Indoor)A. Rybakov2 - 12.6667%WON
2026-09-27ColumbusHard (Indoor)B. Kuzuhara2 - 01.7752%WON
2026-09-20 San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification, Hard—E. Arutiunian2 - 02.4862%LOST
2026-09-16TiburonHardS. Gorzny0 - 23.2470%LOST
2026-09-14TiburonHardR. Pascual Ferra2 - 12.8968%WON
2026-09-13TiburonHardM. Exsted2 - 11.7754%WON
2026-08-19Sion (Switzerland)ClayJ. M. La Serna0 - 1 RET——LOST
2026-08-18Sion (Switzerland)ClayA. Chepelev2 - 0——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Oliver Okonkwo or Luca Staeheli?

Luca Staeheli is favourite at 1.55, which is a 61% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Oliver Okonkwo vs Luca Staeheli?

Oliver Okonkwo is 2.42 and Luca Staeheli is 1.55, the prices we recorded for the Columbus match.

What is the head-to-head between Oliver Okonkwo and Luca Staeheli?

They have met 1 time and Luca Staeheli leads 1-0.

Who will win Oliver Okonkwo vs Luca Staeheli?

Our model makes it Luca Staeheli to win at 1.55 (Lean confidence).

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