Mitchell Krueger v Keegan Smith
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTK. Smith is 5-5 over the last ten and 31-18 on hard this season. M. Krueger is 5-5 over the last ten and 11-16 on hard this season. The head to head is M. Krueger 1-1.
The pick is K. Smith to win. We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.89 or bigger. At 1.78 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Krueger | K. Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| 381 | Ranking | 289 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WWLLW | Last 5 | WWLWL |
| +0.5 | V the odds | -0.5 |
| 14-21 | Season | 39-25 |
| 11-16 | Hard 2026 | 31-18 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Columbus | M. KruegervK. Smith | 2 - 0 |
| 2026-09-15 | Tiburon | M. KruegervK. Smith | 2 - 1 |
| 2022-09-12 | Cary | K. SmithvM. Krueger | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Krueger — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | A. Shelbayh | 2 - 0 | 2.13 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-10-02 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | K. Smith | 2 - 0 | 2.11 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | S. Kozlov | 1 - 2 | 1.87 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | T. Zink | 0 - 2 | 1.67 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | S. Gorzny | 1 - 2 | 2.62 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | Tiburon | Hard | M. Zheng | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-16 | Tiburon | Hard | R. Seggerman | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Tiburon | Hard | K. Smith | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - Qualification | Hard | M. Gonzalez Fernandez | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-16 | Lincoln | Hard | M. Lajal | 1 - 0 RET | — | — | LOST |
K. Smith — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | M. Krueger | 2 - 0 | 1.79 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-10-01 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | B. Nakashima | 1 - 2 | 1.75 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | K. Bigun | 1 - 2 | 1.38 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | D. Dietrich | 0 - 2 | 2.14 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | E. Winter | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Tiburon | Hard | M. Krueger | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | A. Galarneau | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-17 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | S. Kwon | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-25 | Segovia | Hard | L. Pavlovic | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-24 | Segovia | Hard | P. Inchauspe | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Mitchell Krueger or Keegan Smith?
Keegan Smith is favourite at 1.79, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Mitchell Krueger vs Keegan Smith?
Mitchell Krueger is 2.11 and Keegan Smith is 1.79, the prices we recorded for the Columbus match.
What is the head-to-head between Mitchell Krueger and Keegan Smith?
They have met 3 times and Mitchell Krueger leads 2-1.
Who will win Mitchell Krueger vs Keegan Smith?
Our model makes it Keegan Smith to win at 1.78 (Lean confidence).